Rasmussen: Trump +13

[Hollywood]

I don't use Rasmussen for Presidential Election forecasts, because they under-estimate Democrats.  I use them for overall trends, and level of support among Republicans and Independents.   

Pretty obvious that 92-95% Republicans are united against Biden, and 20-25% of Democrats despise Biden to the point that at least 10 or15% will vote for Trump and another 10 or 15% will stay home if the decision is between the two candidates. 

Based on other pollsters, Republicans have at least 55% of Independents that will vote. 

[Hollywood]

LMFAO

Imagine this:



✓ Former President Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Ronald DeSantis (R-FL): 356 EV. (45.03%)
President Joseph R. Biden (D-DE)/Vice President Kamala D. Harris (D-CA): 182 EV. (32.11%)
Third Party Candidates: 22.86%

NE-02 would be pretty odd.

That didn't stick out as much as MN, CO, NM, and VA for me.   Youngkin's win in VA was based on him distancing himself from Trump while Trump's coalition rallied the base in rural districts.  It's pretty clear from the polling data that Trump is a significant threat to Biden, but DeSantis would completely demolish the Democrats as the above 2024 map illustrates.