Reports say Pinellas County has flipped its Party Registration from BLUE to Red!
If that's true it is CHEKMATE for Democrats. If they even can't hold Pinellas it's GLOOMY for them because Pinellas is the Swing County in the State.
I believe 2020 was a D+1 with 13% margin of victory among Independents for Biden, according to the CNN exit poll. So 2022 could easily be R+3 with the GOP having at least a decisive lead among Independents of 10-15 percent. Reports from Cuban, South American, Jewish and Asians communities presents a very dark picture for Democrats in the State, and there's no way he's going to do well in Jacksonville and Tampa suburbs. The additional problem of hundreds of thousands of new Republican transplants into the state has provided the GOP with an extra 250k voters in the past couple years, and another 75-125k is likely to enter the state this year. There's hundreds of new people in and around my community with Trump banners in their garages, homes, and apartments.
Thus, Florida is completely gone for Democrats in 2022 and 2024.
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/florida
It actually was D 30/I 32/ R 38
BUT you were right, Biden did beat Trump among Independents in FL 54/43.
I think FL doing so well has a lot to do with Governor DeSantis keeping the State open despite the COVID-19 Pandemic. People were and still are fed up with all the Restrictions, Vaccine Mandates, etc.
It was a little bit of a Gamble by DeSantis but it worked.
Cause there's a lot of D voters that left the state after attending college, and many voters responded to exit pollsters to claim they are Rs despite their registrations indicating D and I. In 2020, I was registered D cause I wanted to vote in the primary, and I had been registered Independent when I moved to Florida as well as when I lived in NJ. This happens to tons of college kids who register with Democrats on campus. But I was certainly a Republican after I left undergraduate school.
It wasn't a gamble for DeSantis. Old people with a 1.5% chance of dying in 2020 knew to either vaccinate or continue social distancing, and younger groups had a nonzero chance. With vaccines, continued social distancing of old unvaccinated persons, and monoclonal antibodies, the chances of dying dropped significantly. The real drop in Florida came when unvaccinated and vaccinated persons learned that monoclonal antibodies had been incredibly successful for unvaccinated people that had conditions contraindicating vaccination. Because of unvaxxed movement, biologic companies have now created a multitude of remedies that's 85% effective, and fights off a host of other viruses and illnesses like cancer and cardiovascular disease. They are closer to a cure that's safer, more effective and cheaper than taking a multitude of vaccines for a bunch of viral infections (treats influenza). Thank God. I've literally worked on dozens of drug cases with biologics. Monoclonal Antibodies has paved a pathway to cheaply cure, remedy or prevent transmission of, HIV and all other STDS, cancer, Ebola, asthma, allergies, heart disease, etc. It is opening up more natural means for preventing illness. It will literally leave people with long-term natural immunity. Even Europe has started to adopt it cause they realize they can't keep giving people several vaccinations each year, because it's not a true solution to the problem as they are witnessing right now at the start of a brutal winter (70K case, 321 dead today). The same will happen to the Midwest and NE over the next several months. Florida is pretty much finished with significant outbreaks of Covid-19, because it peaked at the best time of the year (summer).
The states that are relying solely on vaccinations are going to suffer the most this winter, because they don't understand the science. Because they don't realize that millions and billions of dollars are being pumped into political parties and media by legacy pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer and Merck in order to push one drug over another one. It's an awful situation that has provided us with the Opioid and Adderral crises, as well as blocked HIV and cancer drugs from quickly entering the market. Extremist Covid-19 policy has shot the Democrat Party in the foot, if not a vital organ, because they did not understand the risks associated with vaccinating everyone and shutting down the economy. The deaths that come from homicide, suicide, overdoses, war, famine, etc., that is associated with their plan. Recent polls show them losing on Covid-19 policy.
