Rasmussen: Warren +2 over Trump (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 08, 2024, 12:14:30 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Rasmussen: Warren +2 over Trump (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Rasmussen: Warren +2 over Trump  (Read 2487 times)
Hollywood
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,735
« on: May 29, 2019, 09:30:20 AM »

I don't get the talk that Warren is unelectable, I personally think she's more electable than Biden.


Winning an election is primarily about turning out the base voters of your party, not trying to win over voters from the other side as some other candidates seem to want to do.

According to almost every poll in 2008, Obama was winning voters within his own party, the majority of independents and voters on the other side.  In 2016, polls showed Sanders winning big among Democrats and voters from the other side while Clinton was not.  Now Biden is winning voters in the Democrat Party given that he is already supported by 33% of the electorate and his the second choice candidate of other challengers.  He wins a similar majority of independents as Obama, and he brings some disgruntled Bush Republicans over.  Trying to win base of your own party is strategy that is good for a mostly homogenous voter base in the Republican party, because they need to run up the vote in mostly rural areas.  The Democrats need to run up the vote in Urban areas and suburban areas, along with satisfying the political sensibilities of different races and special interest groups with opposing viewpoints. 
Logged
Hollywood
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,735
« Reply #1 on: May 29, 2019, 09:36:46 AM »

45% of Americans view Warren unfavorably in that poll, and 20% of Democrats view her unfavorably in other polls.  If I was writing a book about how to swing a bat at a wall without successfully making contact, I would surely use Elizabeth Warren as my analogy to drive the point home.  She would make a cover, and her claimed relationship to Native American tribes would find it's way into the prologue.  Best Seller.
Logged
Hollywood
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,735
« Reply #2 on: May 29, 2019, 04:08:31 PM »

Now Hillary Clinton is winning voters in the Democrat Party given that she is already supported by 33% of the electorate and is the second choice candidate of other challengers.  She wins a similar majority of independents as Obama, and she brings some disgruntled Bush Republicans over.
Sound familiar?
How did that pan out?

I always contended that Hillary Clinton would lose the 2016 election, and never changed my tune even when I was unsure based on the polling data.  Given the information I learned from that election, I maintain that a candidate with 45% approval and 45% disapproval in the Democrat party is a loser, because people in New York and California run up the vote, so a certain percentage is wasted in our electoral college system, which Democrats are strongly pushing to abolish due to their embarrassing loss resulting from their candidate and party not understanding the rules, as well as wasting time and resources running up the vote in a state they were already going to win.  

I maintain that Joe Biden is the best chance for Democrats to win, because he's likable. His negatives are low. He appeals to the rust belt lost in the last election, and the Bush people can stomach him.  I mean anyone that could stomach Hillary Clinton after years of corruption and bladdy bladdy blah.  People like Elizabeth Warren are locked in their own heads, and they are compromised by their adherence to the far-left no matter duuhhh.  This is a person that supports reparations, because she felt uncomfortable telling black people that we aren't going to do something as preposterous as providing monetary beneficiary privileges to a single race of people in post-civil rights Americans.  Kamala Harris as well.  These are the people you think can win the rust belt?   Totally gutless human beings that can't stand to be disliked for a second.  Do what Joe Biden would do.  Do nothing and pretend to answer the question or throw it back.  

This poll has completely vindicated everything I've said in the Elizabeth Warren thread.  And it's a good poll with 3000 people.  Is it gospel? No.  But it's a good indicator.  Now come the village idiots with their usual, "It's a Republican/Democrat pollster".
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.035 seconds with 13 queries.