538 model & poll tracker thread (user search)
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  538 model & poll tracker thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 model & poll tracker thread  (Read 59742 times)
iammucow
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Posts: 38
« on: July 28, 2020, 02:44:25 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 28, 2020, 11:59:25 AM
Nate Silver, regression-based estimate tweet (Talk Elections won't let me include links until I post more)


They only have Biden up 76% in DC? Are they expecting Trump to triple his vote share from last election?
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iammucow
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Posts: 38
« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2020, 11:44:56 AM »
As long as he reduces uncertainty as the election approaches, does it really matter? There's nothing wrong with having one model that's highly risk-adverse. It's kind of the reason to have multiple models, to offer different perspectives and consider different scenarios and factors.
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