PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Clinton +9

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Even though it does look fairly Clinton-friendly, it still shows that Trump is going to have a hard time getting to 270, and that PA was never going to be easy to flip.

He doesn't need. Current states with the advantage plus either Wisconsin or Colorado wins it for him.

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It makes Nevada an absolute necessity for him, though.  And given what we know about historical polling and Hispanic turnout there, that's a precarious position.

If he wins OH, FL, NC, and IA, he can afford to lose Nevada if he gets WI and ME-02. He's essentially got to the point he has several viable strategies to win this now.

So it's not going to happen...

Colorado and Wisconsin were only around 4-8% for Clinton back during her August high time, and given how much Trump has surged since then, it's foolish to pretend like Trump pick ups can't happen there.

taking which numbers? 538/RCP-average? ^^

538.

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The HILLDAWG BEATDOWNs have resumed.

On the basis of one poll? Sure.....