absentee/early vote thread, part 2

[ApatheticAustrian]

tender has a point even while he makes it in a really unconvincing way, imho.

less about austria than about countries feeling the wave of new big-gov right-wing-populism, killing the old conservative parties.

even while i would suggest, demographics and economy of the US makes it more robust against crypto-fascism than europe.

[ApatheticAustrian]

final post on that matter....if austria is a sign, HRC would kill it in CO/NC/GA.

[ApatheticAustrian]

from the 4th circuit court of appeals...regarding NC voting station changes and "smoking guns"






https://mobile.twitter.com/AriBerman/status/795292567042658304

[ApatheticAustrian]

read my post above......courts are acknowledging it.

[ApatheticAustrian]

this is a long-term trend steve....dixiecrat alignment.

dems have outregistered pubs again. but yeah, unaff decide.

[ApatheticAustrian]

i guess there has been a major re-alignment in IA...raw numbers of party reg. would have suggested a dem victory of 3 points otherwise.

[ApatheticAustrian]

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https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/795386445125091334?lang=de

[ApatheticAustrian]

However it appears CO Latinos are not surging so far

What I've heard from someone looking at the data on who's cast ballots, and Ds now slightly underperforming Rs (re: no CO Latino surge)
https://twitter.com/NickRiccardi/status/795415030120480769

[ApatheticAustrian]

i am not concerned about CO.

it's just true, that Dems SHOULD have a majority of their own since they are now the biggest registered bloc in CO.

[ApatheticAustrian]

And right now the old and those in conservative CDs seem to be the ones casting ballots and republicans ares still 3000 behind where they were.

this site claims pubs have a lead of about 2k votes since this afternoon ...

http://magellanstrategies.com/colorado-2016-ballots-returned-reports/?utm_content=buffer26329&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

but i am not sure if this is reliable information.

[ApatheticAustrian]

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https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/795440179242815488

it's a shame that NC got killed strategically.

[ApatheticAustrian]

once again:

if trump wins....

don't blame blacks, don't blame latinos and i may be wrong but it won't be women....

most likely still white men college-educated or not and idealistic third-partiers.

[ApatheticAustrian]

Early voting should be illegal.  What's the point of even having an election day anymore?  Let's just make it election month for lazy Americans.

watching how amazingly some states still fail with the ED crowd after 2 weeks of EV, i would increase penalties or create a set of higher federal laws to fulfill.

[ApatheticAustrian]

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https://twitter.com/SteveCollinsSJ/status/795348672460505088

[ApatheticAustrian]

you could also vote sunday like everyone else?

really? no one?

okay

[ApatheticAustrian]

next absurd social media social media trick...


Trump Trolls Find New Tactics To Spread False Voting Information On Twitter
https://www.buzzfeed.com/charliewarzel/trump-trolls-find-new-tactics-to-spread-false-voting-informa?utm_term=.jmrMdllE#.bu6rKAAR







now 42 million early voters....seems YUGE

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article112943618.html

[ApatheticAustrian]

AA turnout was important in 2012....absolutely saved Obama.

but this year, EVERYONE wants to turn out even more and there is kind of an endless pool of potential white voters.

some states can be won without them....more difficult in others.

the higher the general turnout, the more important the white vote becomes, even if minorities vote like never before.....

either most white democrats (who voted for O) vote for HRC...or she loses in a few important states and also the election, even if she wins the PV.

[ApatheticAustrian]

schale makes his happy dance again

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/795471884246777856?lang=de

[ApatheticAustrian]

anyone wants a nightly laugh?



Trump officials believe the Florida county of Miami-Dade can tip the must-win state their way.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-11-07/in-trump-s-most-important-county-a-surge-of-hispanic-voters-iv7he39o

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[ApatheticAustrian]

Soooo....after those EV numbers for Florida....what are Hillary's chances of winning it?

still cause of dixiecrat questions and cannibalizing theories but atm i would say, we got this.

[ApatheticAustrian]

hope we don't cannibalize too much, even while all the stats say the opposite...

[ApatheticAustrian]

i see that philly thing as a simple karma question.

either they get their shoot together or they will have the privilege of a brand-new right-to-work law soon.

[ApatheticAustrian]

AAs won't fix NC since general turnout is up like hell.

urban millenials are tasked with that challenge in NC.

[ApatheticAustrian]

more latinos are going to vote AND there will be more latinos.....

but....2016 will be a special thing, like 2012 was a special thing for AA.

trump's natural base will get smaller and maybe younger and more educated but the economic part of his success won't be gone like that.

[ApatheticAustrian]

how many votes are therw in NE2?