I anticipate that these polls are making one major mistake:
They're vastly overestimating Biden's "white vote". The idea that Trump's white vote will go from the 60% range to 48% against Joe Biden is ridiculous. I think that is skewing the poll way off. If you give Trump 55-60% of the white vote, these numbers become drastically different.
Arbitrary unskewing because you don't like what the polls show. That doesn't have a real good track record, you know.
Because when I take the polls and accept them my predictions wind up wrong because the polls vastly underestimate Republican votes. That's why I was wrong about Kim Reynolds, Mike Dewine, Ron DeSantis, Rick Scott, and Donald Trump.
Let me ask you this. What if these polls are correct and they aren’t underestimating Republican support?