Can the GOP win back the Suburbs without sacrificing WWC voters? (user search)
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  Can the GOP win back the Suburbs without sacrificing WWC voters? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Can the GOP win back the Suburbs without sacrificing WWC voters?  (Read 2818 times)
JA
Jacobin American
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,956
United States


« on: November 21, 2018, 07:28:36 AM »

The trends indicate the opposite. Suburbs are going to be lost to the GOP soon as Democrats continue making inroads among White College educated voters. The Republican Party will continue relying on a base that’s increasingly non-college educated Whites. Many, if not most, remaining wealthy suburban districts have witnessed the demise of their Republicans in 2016 and 2018; from New Jersey to Texas to California, the suburban GOP reps in Congress have been wiped out. Democrats will increasingly rely upon these voters and seek to build upon these gains by appealing to their interests, which will force Republicans to rely upon an increasingly lower educated, lower income, rural and exurban base.

In order to remain competitive at the Presidential and, especially, the Congressional level, Republicans will have to come to terms with the fact that tax cuts for high income earners, cuts to social services, and other traditional GOP-Ryan/Romney policies will be anathema to their core constituents. But, also, they’ll have to move beyond Trump’s white nationalist rhetoric since there simply aren’t enough lower educated Whites for the GOP to remain competitive appealing only to them. So, unless the Democrat Party becomes the party of Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez, then the GOP must realize that making inroads into minority working class areas is their only realistic prospects of being viable long-term.

tldr: unless Democrats become the party of Ocasio-Cortez, the GOP’s only realistic long-term hope is to focus on working class minorities. The White College educated suburbanites are leaving the party and Democrats now control the majority of such Congressional districts. Move on and adapt your platform and rhetoric accordingly.
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JA
Jacobin American
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,956
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2018, 07:33:11 AM »

Anyway, if the GOP wants to claw back ground in these areas, they need one of two things, but preferably both:

1) Trump not being president
2) A Democrat being president

As long as Trump is in office, it's only going to keep getting worse.

That assumes the Democratic President would pursue policies anathema to those voters. Based on the track record of Democratic Presidents and nominees since 1984, at least, there’s no reason to believe that’ll be the case. The trend has been for these voters to slowly move into the Democratic Party; a trend that has only sped up under Trump.
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