CBS/YouGov: Clinton +7 in Ohio, Clinton +2 in Florida (user search)
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  CBS/YouGov: Clinton +7 in Ohio, Clinton +2 in Florida (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Clinton +7 in Ohio, Clinton +2 in Florida  (Read 3680 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« on: September 11, 2016, 11:48:12 AM »

Unskewing is BS (see: 2012)
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2016, 01:19:32 PM »

1. The electorate changes
2. It didn't work in 2012, and it won't work now.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2016, 03:01:15 PM »

Republican voters = 49% of electorate in 2012
Democratic voters = 50% of electorate in 2012

Trump: 100%*49% + 0%*50% = 49%
Clinton: 0%*49%+100%*50%=50%

Therefore Clinton will win Florida + 1 Roll Eyes
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