As of today Trump could not win outright, best case scenario is a 269-269 tie, House Republicans choose Trump.
Clinton/Kaine-45.6%(269 Electoral Votes)
Trump/Pence-45.1%(269 Electoral Votes)
Even that would never happen. NV is solid for Hillary, and NH isn't far behind.
Why does everyone seem to think this? There are a lot of Hispanics in NV, yes, but there are also a lot of non-college whites, many of whom were Obama voters but may go to Trump this year. If you look at the map that the Times released a while ago, Nevada is actually a state with more uneducated white Obama voters than Hispanic or educated white Romney voters, which means that Trump has more room to grow. Besides, even if the polls are off by 5 points, they still show Clinton ahead by 6 or 7 at most, which is closer than, say, PA. Don't take Nevada for granted.
