Arbitrage1980
Jr. Member
Posts: 770
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« on: August 24, 2016, 11:51:49 AM » |
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The notion of Trump winning CT is laughable. Not gonna happen. Aside from Litchfield, I can't think of a county that Trump will actually win. Romney lost it by more than 17%; I think Trump loses it by 20%.
I think his likeliest path to the White House is an electoral tie at 269, assuming that GOP keeps the House (if the election is that close they most certainly will). Keep all the Romney states and add FL, OH, NH, IA, NV. All those states are more realistic for Trump than CO, VA, PA, WI, MI, since the latter have a higher % of college educated whites and with the exception of WI, a higher % of minorities. (FL does have a lot of Latinos obviously, but it's a huge state with tons of conservative whites in panhandle, Orlando, and Hillsborough County).
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