Election 2020: The Game!

[R/H]

Second Republican primary presidential debate at the Cleveland State University in Cleveland, OH

Date : November 13th, 2019

Participants : Florida Senator Marco Rubio, Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, Former FBI Director James Comey and Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton

Host : Fox News

Moderators : Chris Wallace, Megyn Kelly and Bret Baier

Questions

-Opening statements

-Senator Rubio, you talked about Paul Ryan's chances to win on next election day by the fact that he lost the 2012 presidential election as Mitt Romney's running mate. How do you explain that you would be in better position to win the next general election that Speaker Ryan is?

-Do you think that the recent Canadian electoral results (in which the Conservative Party made electoral advances, thus making the Trudeau government a minority government) represent a great opportunity to approve the Keystone XL pipeline?

-This question is adressed to all the candidates. Senator Rubio said recently that you will be able to attract new voters to the Republican Party, including Independents and Democrats. How do you intend to do that?

-Senator Cotton, you said that you are among Arkansas Republican warriors (alongside notably Mike Huckabee) that defeated the Clinton machine in Arkansas, thus weakening Democratic influence in Arkansas. What do you mean by that?
-How do you intend to stand up to Russia?


-What is your plan to capture or kill Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, leader of ISIS?

[R/H]

Round 9 begins!

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New Polls

According to new nationwide and statewide polls, Marco Rubio reinforced his status as the Republican frontrunner for his party's nomination. This increase is due to it's growing appeal among some Democrats and Independents thanks to it's energy agenda and it's plan to invest into infrastructure development once the budget balanced. His lead also increased thanks to his terrific debate performance in Cleveland. Paul Ryan lost momentum after the debate during which Marco Rubio remarked the Speaker's past opposition to Cuba embargo until 2008 and claimed that Ryan was « no Franklin Delano Roosevelt », who lost as the Democratic vice-presidential nominee in 1920 before winning as the Democratic presidential nominee in 1932.

National Polls

Marco Rubio : 39 %
Paul Ryan : 25 %
James Comey : 15 %
Tom Cotton : 11 %

Iowa Polls

Marco Rubio : 30 %
Paul Ryan : 25 %
James Comey : 16 %
Tom Cotton : 15 %

New Hampshire Polls

Marco Rubio : 40 %
Paul Ryan : 22 %
James Comey : 14 %
Tom Cotton : 5 %

South Carolina Polls

Marco Rubio : 37 %
Paul Ryan : 21 %
Tom Cotton : 13 %
James Comey : 11 %

Nevada Polls

Marco Rubio : 40 %
Paul Ryan : 21 %
James Comey : 13 %
Tom Cotton : 9 %

Tennessee Polls

Marco Rubio : 33 %
Paul Ryan : 28 %
James Comey : 16 %
Tom Cotton : 14 %

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BREAKING NEWS

Henry Kissinger died at 96

Yesterday, Henry Kissinger, former Secretary of State from 1973 to 1977 under Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford, passed away at 96 years old due to prostate cancer. National funerals for the architect of policy of détente with the Soviet Union are scheduled over the current week. Christopher Nixon Cox, Richard Nixon's grandson, has scheduled to attend these funerals. Let's remind that Christopher Nixon Cox is once again candidate for the Republican nomination for Congressman of the 1st Congressional District of New York after his failed attempt in 2010 and could resurect the Nixon family's political prospects if he wins his party's nomination and then the general election.

Nationwide unemployment rate raised to 7,8 %

Because of oil prices increase, the unemployment rate in the United States raised to 7,8 % due to job losses in the automotive industry and in the energy sector.

ISIS rises in Egypt

Due to Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi's unpopularity (with his policies, which some are considered to be oppressive) and the weakness of the Egyptian economy (with an unemployment rate elevated at 15 %), ISIS emerged in Egypt. Terrorist attacks by ISIS on the Egyptian soil increased. In addition of killing innocent people, ISIS in Egypt attacks energy infrastructure, which weakens Egyptian economy. The Northwest of the country is under ISIS control.

Endorsements

Marco Rubio Ohio Governor Mike DeWine, Former Virginia Senator Jim Webb, Former North Dakota Senator Heidi Heitkamp

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ROUND 10!

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New Polls

After he received endorsements from Democratas Jim Webb and Heidi Heitkamp, Marco Rubio increased his supports among Independents, including in New Hampshire and South Carolina, both key early voting states in the campaign for the Republican nomination. Tom Cotton too made some progress by topping James Comey for the third place in Iowa.

National Polls

Marco Rubio : 40 %
Paul Ryan : 27 %
James Comey : 14 %
Tom Cotton : 12 %

Iowa Polls

Marco Rubio : 31 %
Paul Ryan : 27 %
Tom Cotton : 16%
James Comey : 14 %


New Hampshire Polls

Marco Rubio : 37 %
Paul Ryan : 21 %
James Comey : 14 %
Tom Cotton : 6 %

South Carolina Polls

Marco Rubio : 40 %
Paul Ryan : 21 %
Tom Cotton : 14 %
James Comey : 10 %

Nevada Polls

Marco Rubio : 42 %
Paul Ryan : 22 %
James Comey : 13 %
Tom Cotton : 10 %

Tennessee Polls

Marco Rubio : 34 %
Paul Ryan : 28 %
James Comey : 15 %
Tom Cotton : 15 %

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BREAKING NEWS

Nine U.S. ambassadors killed in Cairo

5 ISIS fighters attacked the U.S. embassy in Cairo and killed 9 American diplomats before getting by the local police. Once again, more and more people doubt about Clinton's leadership just like in 2012 during Benghazi attacks. ISIS also held hostage a British container ship on the Suez Canal and asks for 100 million $ in exchange of the hostages' release. The increase of terrorist attacks in Egypt raised rumors claiming that Ayman al-Zawahiri, leader of Al Qaida since Bin Laden's death, could be hiding in Egypt, his birthplace.

The United States Congress votes in favor of normalizing relations between the United States and Venezuela

Barely a year after Henrique Capriles' election as Venezuelan president and Nicolas Maduro's electoral defeat, the United States Congress voted in favor of US-Venezuelan relations' normalization after two decades of marxist oppression in this Latin American country, thus reinforcing diplomatic and economic relations between these two countries.

Endorsements

Marco Rubio Former President of the United States George W. Bush, Florida Senator Jeff Atwater, Maine Senator Susan Collins and Former CIA officer Felix Rodriguez.

Angus King Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, Hawai Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, Former Minnesota Governor Jesse Ventura and Businessman Bill Gates

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Here starts the 11th round!

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New Polls

While there is no important change in the polls for the Republican nomination, Tom Cotton and James Comey are battling for the third place. The four Republican presidential candidates are preparing to challenge each other for the third Republican presidential primary debate that will be set at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, on December 2nd 2019. Former California Governor Arnold Schwarzennegger will be among the debate audience at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library.

National Polls

Marco Rubio : 39 %
Paul Ryan : 26 %
James Comey : 13 %
Tom Cotton : 13 %

Iowa Polls

Marco Rubio : 30 %
Paul Ryan : 28 %
Tom Cotton : 16%
James Comey : 14 %

New Hampshire Polls

Marco Rubio : 38 %
Paul Ryan : 23 %
James Comey : 14 %
Tom Cotton : 5 %

South Carolina Polls

Marco Rubio : 42 %
Paul Ryan : 20 %
Tom Cotton : 15 %
James Comey : 10 %

Nevada Polls

Marco Rubio : 43 %
Paul Ryan : 24 %
James Comey : 14 %
Tom Cotton : 10 %

Tennessee Polls

Marco Rubio : 33 %
Paul Ryan : 29 %
James Comey : 16 %
Tom Cotton : 15 %

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BREAKING NEWS

Abu Sayyaf strikes on the U.S. national territory

In an attempt to end US military presence in the Pacific and pursue the developpment of North Korea's nuclear program, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un funds Filipino jihadist group Abu Sayyaf to make terrorist attacks in Hawaï. A group of 4 Abu Sayyaf jihadists killed 10 marines in Pearl Harbor, Hawai, before being killed by the U.S. Army. This attack demonstrates the necessity of reinforcing the U.S. military presence in Pacific Ocean and fight terrorism.

Consideration for NATO's expansion

Russia's aggressive foreign policy, including in Ukraine, triggered debates on whether Eastern European countries like Ukraine and Finland should integrate NATO, which would reinforce pressure on Russia.

Endorsements

Marco Rubio Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton, Businesswoman and CEO of HP Inc. Meg Whitman and Former Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal

[R/H]

Third Republican primary presidential debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California

Date : December 2nd, 2019

Participants : Florida Senator Marco Rubio, Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton, Former FBI Director James Comey

Host : ABC News

Moderator : George Stephanopoulos

Questions

-Opening statements

-ISIS raised in Egypt, multiplying terrorist attacks on the Egyptian territory. These terrorist attacks also raised rumors claiming that the leader of Al Qaida Ayman al-Zawahiri might be hidding in Egypt, his birthplace. Do you believe he's there? And if yes how do you intend to capture or kill him?

-Senator Cotton, how can you explain that the letter you wrote and sent to Iran in 2015 is not a violation of the Logan Act?

-We were attacked on our national territory for the first time since 2016.This attack was orchestrated by Abu Sayyaf in Hawai and was apparently supported by North Korea. Do you think we are witnessing an expansion of jihadism on the Pacific? What is your plan to defeat Abu Sayyaf?

-Speaker Ryan, when you were Mitt Romney's running mate in 2012, our embassy in Benghazi was attacked, causing the death of four U.S. ambassadors. Today in 2019, our embassy in Cairo was attacked by ISIS, causing the death of nine of our ambassadors. How do you think the situation is different now than in 2012?

-The question is addressed to you Mr. Comey. Senator Rubio said that you got it wrong about free trade consequences on the economy.  Can you give your justification?

-Senator Rubio, you have the chance to respond.

-Do you think India should be integrated into the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP)?

-The following question will be adressed to Senator Rubio, Speaker Ryan and Senator Cotton. Senator Rubio you're a member of the U.S. Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship; Speaker Ryan you were a member of the House Budget Committee before becoming this Committee's chairman in 2011; and Senator Cotton you are a member of the Senate Banking Subcommittee on Economic Policy. I want you to tell the ato hear from you why you have the best background and the best plan to grow the U.S. economy?

-Why would Ronald Reagan support your candidacy if he was alive today?

[R/H]

Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the 12th round!

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New Polls

The polls got a few closer between Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan but not at a threatening level towards Rubio's frontrunner status. The race in Iowa is likely to be a close race since Rubio is leading Ryan by 3 points. Tom Cotton takes the third place in the national Republican polls.

National Polls

Marco Rubio : 40 %
Paul Ryan : 29 %
Tom Cotton : 14 %
James Comey : 13 %


Iowa Polls

Marco Rubio : 32 %
Paul Ryan : 29 %
Tom Cotton : 17 %
James Comey : 13 %

New Hampshire Polls

Marco Rubio : 39 %
Paul Ryan : 25 %
James Comey : 12 %
Tom Cotton : 6 %

South Carolina Polls

Marco Rubio : 43 %
Paul Ryan : 22 %
Tom Cotton : 16 %
James Comey : 10 %

Nevada Polls

Marco Rubio : 44 %
Paul Ryan : 25 %
James Comey : 13 %
Tom Cotton : 11 %

Tennessee Polls

Marco Rubio : 32 %
Paul Ryan : 30 %
Tom Cotton : 16 %
James Comey : 15 %

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BREAKING NEWS

Oil prices increase in the European Union

Before Brexit, the United Kingdom was the first oil producer in the European Union. Due to Brexit, oil prices in the European Union, notably in France and Germany (both countries particularily dependent on foreign oil), increased dramatically, which risks to contribute to job losses the European Union and to increase European energy dependence. Brexit effects also hurted British's real estate market. In response to this crisis, British Prime Minster Theresa May and her government started developping an infrastructure plan.

Successful rescue in Egypt

U.S. Special Forces and the Egyptian army led a successful rescue on the Suez Canal where they took back a British container from ISIS who held the crew hostage for a ransom of 100 million $. Almost all the crew is saved while one hostage was killed during the assault concluded by the death of all the jihadists engaged in this hold-up.

Endorsements

Marco Rubio Actor and former California Governor Arnold Schwarzennegger; Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice; Businessman, former member of the Washington Senate and candidate for Washington State Governor Dino Rossi; Texas Senator John Cornyn

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ROUND 13! FIGHT!

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New Polls

Florida Senator Marco Rubio holds his lead in the Republican primary presidential polls with 12 percentage points ahead of Paul Ryan. The four Republican presidential candidates are preparing for their clash for the fourth Republican presidential primary debate that is scheduled for December 18, will be held at Vanderbilt University in Nashville, Tennessee, and moderated by Wolf Blitzer and CNN.

National Polls

Marco Rubio : 42 %
Paul Ryan : 30 %
Tom Cotton : 15 %
James Comey : 12 %


Iowa Polls

Marco Rubio : 33 %
Paul Ryan : 31 %
Tom Cotton : 17 %
James Comey : 13 %

New Hampshire Polls

Marco Rubio : 41 %
Paul Ryan : 26 %
James Comey : 10 %
Tom Cotton : 6 %

South Carolina Polls

Marco Rubio : 44 %
Paul Ryan : 22 %
Tom Cotton : 17 %
James Comey : 11 %

Nevada Polls

Marco Rubio : 45 %
Paul Ryan : 23 %
James Comey : 13 %
Tom Cotton : 10 %

Tennessee Polls

Marco Rubio : 34 %
Paul Ryan : 31 %
Tom Cotton : 17 %
James Comey : 16 %

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BREAKING NEWS

Putsch in the Philippines

A group of hundreds of Philippine soldiers successfully led a putsch that overthrowed President Rodrigo Duterte, a controversial leader who was considered as the « Philippine Donald Trump » due to his protectionist and populist views as well as his racist policies. Many people suspected that his hate speech partly contributed to the rise of jihadism in the Philippines. The soldiers that led the putsch started a transition for the formation of a new democratic government through elections in order to make sure that the country can quickly get back permanently in the fight against terrorism.

Angus King's candidacy made Maine a battleground state

Due to Maine Senator Angus King's candidacy, Maine, a state that voted Democraat every presidential election since 1992, seems to be about to become a battleground state. According to a recent poll published by CNN/ORC Hillary Clinton is leading in Maine, but less wide than usual. Against Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee, Hillary Clinton holds 41 % of the vote against 35 % for the Florida Senator and 21 % for Angus King. If she faces Paul Ryan, she would win this state with 43 % of the vote against 33 % for the Speaker of the House and 22 % for the Maine Senator. In the case of a face-off against Tom Cotton, the President of the United States would win this New England state with 44 % over Cotton's 31 % and King's 24 %. Against James Comey, Clinton would win widely with 44 % over Comey's 30 % and King's 25 %.

Endorsements

Marco Rubio Former Vice-President of the United States Dick Cheney, former Florida Senator Mel Martinez, former Nevada Governor Brian Sandoval, former New Hampshire Senator John E. Sununu

Angus King : Former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle, former Vice-President of the United States Al Gore, former New York Mayor Bill de Blasio and former Secretary of State Colin Powell

[R/H]

R/H, are you a sock of UWS?

Just wondering.

No, my dear friend.

[R/H]

Fourth Republican primary presidential debate at the Vanderbilt University in Nashville, Tennessee

Date : December 18th, 2019

Participants : Florida Senator Marco Rubio, Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton, Former FBI Director James Comey

Host : CNN

Moderator : Wolf Blitzer

CNN America's Choice theme : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uvpd4myQXs

Podium order was determined by the average of the national polls since the beginning of December :

Comey    Ryan    Rubio    Cotton

Questions

-Opening statements

-Senator Cotton, do you worry that your short political experience could represent an obstacle if you're President?

-Speaker Ryan, Senator Rubio claimed that you changed your positions due to your opposition to the Bush Administration national energy policy and your changing positions on Cuba embargo and a potential military intervention in Syria. Why did you oppose the Bush Administration national energy policy and why did you change your positions on Cuba embargo and military engagement in Syria?

-Senator Angus King's independent candidacy sounds to divide the liberal vote. A recent poll released in Maine, for example, demonstrated that polls between all four of you and Hillary Clinton are getting closer while this state traditionnally votes Democrat. I want to hear from all the candidates, do you believe it finally represents an opportunity for the Republican Party to compete in states where it didn't compete for a long time?

-Recently, a putsch overthrowed Philippine president Rodrigo Duterte and the group of soldiers that orchestrated this putsch are starting a political transition to the formation of a new democratic government through elections. Do you believe this putsch represents good news?

-Russia's policy in Ukraine triggered debates on whether Eastern European countries like Ukraine or Finland should integrate NATO. Do you believe these countries should become NATO members and why?

-Why are you the candidate on this stage that is most likely to beat Hillary Clinton?

[R/H]

Round 14 : December 22, 2019-December 28, 2019

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New Polls

Mostly due to his strong debate performance, Florida Senator Marco Rubio increased his frontrunner status with a 15 percentage point lead over Paul Ryan, whose campaign sounds to be into difficulty. In addition, Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton is trailing the Speaker of the House by only 2 points for the second place in South Carolina.

National Polls

Marco Rubio : 43 %
Paul Ryan : 28 %
Tom Cotton : 16 %
James Comey : 11 %


Iowa Polls

Marco Rubio : 34 %
Paul Ryan : 30 %
Tom Cotton : 18 %
James Comey : 14 %

New Hampshire Polls

Marco Rubio : 43 %
Paul Ryan : 26 %
James Comey : 9 %
Tom Cotton : 7 %

South Carolina Polls

Marco Rubio : 46 %
Paul Ryan : 20 %
Tom Cotton : 18 %
James Comey : 11 %

Nevada Polls

Marco Rubio : 46 %
Paul Ryan : 22 %
James Comey : 12 %
Tom Cotton : 10 %

Tennessee Polls

Marco Rubio : 35 %
Paul Ryan : 29 %
Tom Cotton : 18 %
James Comey : 16 %

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BREAKING NEWS

Taliban attack in Khost, Afghanistan

The Taliban led an assault on Khost, in Afghanistan. They made breakthroughs until downtown. But luckily, the local Afghan troops came just in time to strike back and repel the Taliban. 500 Taliban, 40 Afghan soldiers and 156 civilians were killed during the attack. These events raised concerns about Afghanistan's security.

Failed terrorist attack attempt in Greece

A 24 year-old man radicalized and affliated to ISIS was arrested after the Athenian police discovered bombs and an AK-47 in the suspect's car. He apparently planned to orchestrate a terrorist attack on the Acropolis of Athens, but his arrest prevented it, thus saving many innocent as well as a symbol of democracy in Athens, the cradle of democracy.

Endorsements

Marco Rubio Former Indiana Governor and 2016 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee Mike Pence, Illinois Governor Bruce Rauner, Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, Former U.S. Ambassador to China and 2012 Republican presidential candidate Jon Huntsman

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Round 15 : December 29, 2019-January 4, 2020

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New Polls

As we are approaching the Iowa Republican caucuses that will start the primaries on January 14 2020, Marco Rubio holds his status as the Republican frontrunner. The four Republican presidential candidates started to campaign in Iowa for the local caucuses and they preparing to debate at the Drake University in Des Moines, Iowa, on January 9 2020.

National Polls

Marco Rubio : 41 %
Paul Ryan : 31 %
Tom Cotton : 17 %
James Comey : 10 %


Iowa Polls

Marco Rubio : 35 %
Paul Ryan : 32 %
Tom Cotton : 19 %
James Comey : 13 %

New Hampshire Polls

Marco Rubio : 43 %
Paul Ryan : 27 %
James Comey : 10 %
Tom Cotton : 8 %

South Carolina Polls

Marco Rubio : 47 %
Paul Ryan : 23 %
Tom Cotton : 18 %
James Comey : 10 %

Nevada Polls

Marco Rubio : 44 %
Paul Ryan : 21 %
James Comey : 12 %
Tom Cotton : 10 %

Tennessee Polls

Marco Rubio : 35 %
Paul Ryan : 30 %
Tom Cotton : 18 %
James Comey : 16 %

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BREAKING NEWS

Debate in Washington on defense ties with India

Due to China's military exercises and territorial claims on the South China Sea, to terrorist attacks in Afghanistan and Pakistan and to Iran's nuclear development, debates on a potential reinforcement of defense ties between the United States and India are triggered. In fact, some proponents of such a partnership are arguing that it would be a very strategic partnership due to India's military power, which would be very helpful at defeating terrorism and at increasing pressure on Iran and China to stop their « dishonest » policies threatening international peace.

Endorsements

Marco Rubio former President of the United States George H. W. Bush; Florida Governor, Former Arkansas Governor and Republican presidential candidate in 2008 and 2016 Mike Huckabee; former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld; former U.S. Ambassador to China Gary Locke; former Rhode Island Senator and 2016 Democratic presidential candidate Lincoln Chafee.

Angus King : Former Maine Governor John Baldacci, Investment Banker Steve Eisman, Author Michael Lewis, Activist Ralph Nader, Former Congressman Dennis Kucinich, AFL-CIO