We forgot about Alaska.

[Speed of Sound]

Independents tend to do really well in Alaska, so maybe Gary Johnson in the 5% range... if we're lucky. I could see:

Mitt Romney: 58%
Barack Obama: 35%
Gary Johnson: 5%
Others: 3%

I'm actually surprised that no Libertarian has attempted to base a large camp there and try to make a little bit of national noise with a good showing.