Colorado 2020 U.S. House Redistricting Discussion

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Douglas County belongs with the rurals in eastern Colorado.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Tried going with Forumlurker's suggestion of putting western Boulder in the same district as Grand Junction, not super happy with the result though. That by necessity puts Boulder in a different district than Fort Collins, which means the Fort Collins district has to either have a long snake jutting into the Denver metro or take parts of Weld to compensate. The latter route means the 4th has to take in Pueblo plus parts of the Western Slope, or a bunch of Denver metro. It's just really awkward.





Joe Neguse and Ken Buck get double stacked inside the 2nd, 4th and 8th are open. 2nd, 3rd, and 8th are competitive; Clinton won the 2nd 49-42 and the 3rd 49-43, while the 8th was a 47-44 Trump district in 2016. Gonna guess Biden easily won all three of them. This could be a likely 6-2 map, though the 8th is composed of counties that had some of the least pro-Democratic trends in 2020.

Looks good to me

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://www.coloradopols.com/diary/155780/redistricting-chair-is-an-election-fraud-truther

The chair probably doesn't matter as much here though compared to AZ or NJ.

Iirc the indys are fairly left leaning

The fact that they picked a conspiracy theory-peddling, right-wing nutcase as a Chair suggests that we may well see a Republican gerrymander here.  There's really no excuse for this, regardless of how much power the position does or doesn't have.  It'd be like voting to put someone who believes gravity is an atheist hoax designed to pave the way for the coming of the anti-Christ as chairman of a panel determining whether evolution should be taught in schools. 

The "2020 is rigged" conspiracy theory is so irreconcilable with objective, fact-based reality that anyone who indulges or subscribes to it has effectively forfeited the right to be taken seriously or trusted with any meaningful responsibility.  And if the majority of this panel doesn't feel that way, then that says a lot about them and none of it good.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://coloradosun.com/2021/05/12/jason-crow-moves-centennial-congressional-redistricting/

Fairly minor news although any district with Aurora will be Safe D but Centennial on the other hand could be placed with Douglas in a swing district.

A district running from Douglas to areas directing bordering Denver is likely to be a fair-fight district. Every congressional map this century in CO has had one of those.

Yes and I am guessing Democrats would slightly prefer to have an incumbent already in said district. Its still a fair fight district but I would say incumbency is still worth at least half a point?

Apparently the CW is that the new district will be north of Denver rather than south of it.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

This map seems fine.  Tbh though, I think CO-3 is much better for Boebert than it appears on paper.  The type of Democrat you’d need to beat her there even in a wave was probably drawn out or at least doomed in a Democratic primary by the Hispanic areas being drawn out (especially Pueblo County).  This map seems like a pretty fair reflection of CO atm, although I am not surprised that Republicans hoping for a 4-4 in a blue state are disappointed.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I tried my best to replicate CLARRO's map of making a district 40% Hispanic, my north Denver district is 31.4% voting pop is Hispanic. Biden won my CO-3 map by 52 votes! Map is 5 Biden seats - 2 Trump seats and 1 toss-up seat. I did factor the incumbents locations for each of present districts.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/96e6c508-84b7-41e5-9730-5a0a8764cb59

Seems Fair and unbiased to me!