US House Redistricting: North Carolina

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Careful about giving Foxx too much Democratic territory, she seems like a relatively weak incumbent.  Aside from 2010, she has always underperformed about as much as a Republican can in the current 5th district.  I could easily see her losing to a strong, blue-dog type opponent if her district became, say R +8 (or even R+10 in a bad year for the GOP), even with Obama on the ballot (although that would certainly help her).  Her current district is a Southern, R+15, 89.5% white, rural district and she was only able to get more than 59% in 2010.  She also has a bad case foot-in-mouth, albeit one that thus far hasn't received a huge amount of attention.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

The only thing I don't like about that map really is the split of Raleigh. The Charlotte split is kind of unavoidable because of Charlotte's size, and having a district in Charlotte only and the rest put in the suburbs doesn't really work nice. It's kind of like the way Columbus is split though that's also a Republican gerrymander (granted it predates the gerrymander.)

Yes, but when the split originated it didn't matter as much b/c Franklin County and to a lesser degree Columbus were Republican (I think).

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Redistricting really needs to be taken out of the hands of legislatures.

Quoted for truth.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Some more numbers.

NC1: 65/35 Kerry
NC2: 64/36 Bush
NC3: 62/38 Bush
NC4: 62/38 Kerry
NC5: 65/46 Bush
NC6: 63/48 Bush
NC7: 62/46 Bush
NC8: 63/48 Bush
NC9: 64/45 Bush
NC10: 64/47 Bush
NC11: 64/45 Bush
NC12: 69/20 Kerry
NC13: 63/47 Bush
NC1: 68/32 Marshall
NC2: 62/38 Burr
NC3: 63/37 Burr
NC4: 68/32 Marshall
NC5: 65/35 Burr
NC6: 64/36 Burr
NC7: 63/37 Burr
NC8: 62/48 Burr
NC9: 64/36 Burr
NC10: 61/39 Burr
NC11: 63/37 Burr
NC12: 73/27 Marshall
NC13: 60/40 Burr

A bunch of those numbers don't add up to 100

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

The Republican dominance of redistricting is just amazing this year.

Democrats have acted like idiots during this redistricting cycle; quite a contrast to the aggressive Republicans...its so frustrating for me.

Come, come now. There's both IL and MD for the Ds.

Even in Maryland they could've passed a solid 8-0 map and didn't.