Romney Campaign: CO, NV, OH and VA will decide General Election (user search)
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  Romney Campaign: CO, NV, OH and VA will decide General Election (search mode)
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Author Topic: Romney Campaign: CO, NV, OH and VA will decide General Election  (Read 7847 times)
Boris
boris78
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,098
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -4.52

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« on: April 09, 2012, 01:06:11 PM »

Good to see that Republicans are taking Indiana for granted a second general election year in a row!

They might as well, no? If Indiana is even close, it means Obama is leading by several percentage points nationwide and the GOP has already lost the election.  Indiana and North Carolina aren't going to vote (D) if Romney can hit the 47-48% threshold so why even bother?  
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Boris
boris78
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,098
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: -4.52

WWW
« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2012, 01:21:45 PM »

If you go by that strategy, then only 2-3 states are really important.

Well yeah, basically. You need to get to ~49% nationwide to have any chance of winning anyway. If Romney's at that level, he's already won IN and NC and a lot of other places that Obama won yet underperformed his 2008 national average. Then it comes down to states that were close to the 2008 national average, such as VA, OH, CO, IA etc.

North Carolina is a totally different construction site than Indiana. The state will be close in any case.

naw man, it wouldn't any sense for Obama and Romney to be tied nationally yet also tied in NC.
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