NBC/Survey Monkey: Clinton +6/+7 (user search)
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  NBC/Survey Monkey: Clinton +6/+7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/Survey Monkey: Clinton +6/+7  (Read 3133 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« on: October 31, 2016, 03:03:38 PM »

Not consistent with A+/A- polls Roll Eyes
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2016, 03:09:00 PM »


the numbers not...the trendline (rock solid since last week) seems to be.

Ehm, no. 538 is sensitive to trendslines btw Roll Eyes


You were confident enough in it to predict C+2 an hour ago.

(this is trumpbuddy's code word for trackers, btw)

Tracker is a regular polls that's updated daily. The same methodology. Just so you know.

Yeah, I was wrong. Do you really believe that Clinton went up during last week? Smiley
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2016, 03:22:12 PM »


How is that result unexpected?  NBC/SurveyMonkey have had much more favorable Clinton results than most for the entire election season.  Now, they may turn out to be correct while others are wrong, but I don't see how this result is anything but expected.

It just showed literally the average in Pollster's model and 1 point over average in 538's.

It showed trend that is backed up by just one poll. One from Rasmussen. According to 538 Clinton lost ~2% points during last week.
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