PPP National: Clinton +5 (user search)
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  PPP National: Clinton +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP National: Clinton +5  (Read 2594 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« on: August 30, 2016, 12:14:26 AM »
« edited: August 30, 2016, 12:24:04 AM by LittleBigPlanet »

no TRUMPer should be clapping over a poll going in no direction whatsoever.
It is an OK result,  even though I've been hoping for margin of error lead Sad


But you can't just look at one poll. Just for the 2-4 it'd would look like an outlier when we were getting a lot of polls with Clinton leading by 8-14. Now it is not an outlier. Hopefully, it is new normal  for now Smiley

For example, if Seizer will again show Clinton +4, it'd not be bad.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
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« Reply #1 on: August 30, 2016, 12:53:05 AM »

no TRUMPer should be clapping over a poll going in no direction whatsoever.
It is an OK result,  even though I've been hoping for margin of error lead Sad


But you can't just look at one poll. Just for the 2-4 it'd would look like an outlier when we were getting a lot of polls with Clinton leading by 8-14. Now it is not an outlier. Hopefully, it is new normal  for now Smiley

For example, if Seizer will again show Clinton +4, it'd not be bad.

Well it would be for us... but I think we're looking at a 6-8% national race. I think the post-DNC bounce had receded by only a point or two. So far, the trackers and online polls are Trump's only real glimmer of hope.
But it is what LA times approximately shows. It has Trump +6 house effect according to 538. So I don't really understand problem with those trackers.

My perception is that the race is at Clinton +5-7%, hopping for 4-6% for now.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


« Reply #2 on: August 30, 2016, 02:47:10 AM »

no TRUMPer should be clapping over a poll going in no direction whatsoever.
It is an OK result,  even though I've been hoping for margin of error lead Sad


But you can't just look at one poll. Just for the 2-4 it'd would look like an outlier when we were getting a lot of polls with Clinton leading by 8-14. Now it is not an outlier. Hopefully, it is new normal  for now Smiley

For example, if Seizer will again show Clinton +4, it'd not be bad.

Well it would be for us... but I think we're looking at a 6-8% national race. I think the post-DNC bounce had receded by only a point or two. So far, the trackers and online polls are Trump's only real glimmer of hope.
But it is what LA times approximately shows. It has Trump +6 house effect according to 538. So I don't really understand problem with those trackers.

My perception is that the race is at Clinton +5-7%, hopping for 4-6% for now.

My problem is that it throws the aggregates, namely RCP. I don't really care what Nate Silver likes or dislikes or that he knows the house effect. I care that this obvious garbage is skewing the picture.


Understood! Even though I don't understand why care about RCP.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
Sweden


« Reply #3 on: August 30, 2016, 10:38:26 AM »

I hate people and love the PPP:

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Lol, what!? Grin Grin Grin
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
Sweden


« Reply #4 on: August 30, 2016, 10:40:52 AM »

I hate people and love the PPP:

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Stupid question, because Muslims can come through Pacific Ocean as well. More walls! LOL Grin
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
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Posts: 3,646
Sweden


« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2016, 08:25:45 PM »

But I thought the race was tightening and us Hillary supporters should be sweating!
LOL

First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.
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