Who cares about these polls with both under 45%...we all know MO will go for Trump by a solid margin in the end.
If Gary Johnson gets 10% of the vote in Missouri, then he will allow Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump to win the state with about 45% of the vote. Democrats have a floor of about 45% in Missouri, and that could be enough to win this time.
I look at the three-way race as the reality this year.
So you assumed, that Johnson will steal voters from Trump only, when the polls are suggesting almost the opposite, i.e. Johnson/Stein takes larger/equal amount voters from Hillary than from Trump?
OK!
