TX-University of Houston: Trump +3 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 06:50:09 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  TX-University of Houston: Trump +3 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: TX-University of Houston: Trump +3  (Read 3032 times)
PresidentSamTilden
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 507


« on: October 18, 2016, 06:09:54 PM »

3 polls in the last week showing Texas as a single digit race. This is real life, lol. Until there's polls showing Clinton ahead, it's not a swinger, but wow.

What's interesting is that this isn't really reflective of the national race. Texas was, what, R+20 last time? Hillary is up, but she isn't up that much. Something else is going on here.
Logged
PresidentSamTilden
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 507


« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2016, 07:19:08 PM »

3 polls in the last week showing Texas as a single digit race. This is real life, lol. Until there's polls showing Clinton ahead, it's not a swinger, but wow.

What's interesting is that this isn't really reflective of the national race. Texas was, what, R+20 last time? Hillary is up, but she isn't up that much. Something else is going on here.

Texas Latino Republican voters are abandoning the top of the ticket in droves this year, educated professionals in the cities and suburbs of DFW, Houston, SA, and Austin are swinging hard towards Clinton, and evangelical types have little stomach or enthusiasm for Trump and aren't crazy about voting in November. Smiley

Yep, that sounds like the recipe, lol. 538 just put an article up discussing Texas. Basically, they were saying what is happening in Texas is actually a regional phenomenon - Trump is doing about 10 points worse in the whole south compared to Romney, plus a larger Clinton lead than Obama had. Trump has traded this for some gains in the Northeast and Midwest though. Might not pay off electorally, but it is interesting.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 11 queries.