538 senate model now out (user search)
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June 01, 2024, 01:05:54 AM
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  538 senate model now out (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 senate model now out  (Read 1834 times)
Pericles
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« on: September 18, 2020, 04:52:05 AM »
Seems decent, though I'm not sure what non polling factors they are including in there. Gideon is consistently getting comfortable leads, but it's only a 51% chance for her in the forecast.
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Pericles
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2020, 05:05:01 AM »
Quote from: Gustaf on September 18, 2020, 04:56:54 AM
Quote from: President Pericles on September 18, 2020, 04:52:05 AM
Seems decent, though I'm not sure what non polling factors they are including in there. Gideon is consistently getting comfortable leads, but it's only a 51% chance for her in the forecast.

The polls-only model gives Gideon like 75%, the Deluxe one drops it to 51%.

Oh I didn't realise there was a polls-only model, thank you. I like this one.
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