Elizabeth Warren 2020 Megathread v2 (pg 35 - Emily List support) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 24, 2024, 03:50:43 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Elizabeth Warren 2020 Megathread v2 (pg 35 - Emily List support) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Elizabeth Warren 2020 Megathread v2 (pg 35 - Emily List support)  (Read 58280 times)
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,150


« on: November 17, 2019, 06:02:12 AM »


Not necessarily.



None of the Republicans up in 2022 are in blue states, none are even up in any state Clinton won. There are between 4-7 seats (depending on how the special elections in 2020 go) that'll be up in states Trump won by less than 5% in 2016, while there'll be 3 Democratic seats up in states Clinton won by less than 5%. While it superficially might look like an opportunity, in a Republican leaning national environment Democrats will probably lose Senate seats, this is not a reverse 2018.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,150


« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2019, 05:03:33 AM »

Warren is in a strong position and could easily surge again.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,150


« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2019, 02:10:29 PM »

Warren isn't comparable to Kerry and Romney with regards to flip-flopping.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,150


« Reply #3 on: December 04, 2019, 10:38:54 PM »

Any chance of picking up Harris supporters?

Buttigieg and Warren probably get the biggest shares of Harris supporters.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,150


« Reply #4 on: January 13, 2020, 02:14:21 PM »

Just throwing this out there: Warren has been recovering pretty handsomely on 538's national tracker. She could be back in 2nd nationally within a month, although Iowa will obviously have a big say in whether trends continue or not.

A late Warren surge in Iowa is still possible, she can still win Iowa and from there perhaps the nomination.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,150


« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2020, 03:04:39 AM »
« Edited: January 15, 2020, 03:24:57 PM by Pericles »

I think it’s clear Warren’s political judgement is horrible-see her DNA test, handling of healthcare and now this. So while I still like her and think she’d be a great President, she seems like the wrong choice to take on Trump. Bernie is now probably my first choice, I’m nervous about his electability but Buttigieg and Biden also have flaws for the GE and I like Bernie and his platform more.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,150


« Reply #6 on: January 17, 2020, 11:11:23 AM »


This is known, though.  If you elect Warren you're probably trading off about a 20-30% reduction in the economy for the chance to stick it to rich people.

A Great Depression equivalent because a progressive Democrat won a presidential election? Gosh that’s delusional! You can’t expect to be taken seriously if you make such absurd posts.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,150


« Reply #7 on: February 11, 2020, 04:35:23 AM »




Warren's supporters have outsmarted themselves.

Why didn't those people flip to Biden then? There's no need to reach for implausible explanations when the ones already being discussed work fine.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 13 queries.