KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins

[Pericles]

If Kobach runs this could actually be a race.

Perhaps though voters may be more partisan in a Senae race than a gubernatorial race, so I could easily see the polls being close only for Kobach to pull out an underperformance from the state's typical lean but still a clear win nonetheless.

[Pericles]

The people framing Kobach's candidacy specifically as the end of the world seem to forget that LaTurner will vote 100% identically to him. Modern Republicans are Nazis and there are no longer any exceptions (except Amash, I guess).

Are you a shameless liar, or are you really that stupid/demented?

Given your posting history, you're not the best person to argue against his point.

[Pericles]

Doubt it.

[Pericles]

Even without Pompeo, I'm kind of skeptical Kobach can actually win the primary given he's a proven loser.

[Pericles]

For those of you who think this is Safe R even with Kobach and that KS couldn’t possibly be more competitive than, say, IA or CO:

“National Republicans have outright said that the controversial Kobach can’t win a general election after losing the 2018 governor’s race by 5 points to Democrat Laura Kelly,” writes the Cook Report’s Jessica Taylor. “In private polling, Republicans have Kobach losing to likely Democratic nominee Barbara Bollier, and Kobach leading every other Republican in a head-to-head except Pompeo. Add in the fact that Democrats have a strong recruit in Bollier ⁠— a former Republican state senator who cited Trump as one of the reasons she switched parties in Dec. 2018.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/01/10/this-is-how-democrats-flip-senate/

This polling may be manipulated to show Kobach losing in order to hurt his primary campaign and get other Republicans in. I wouldn’t take it at face value.

And maybe the (non Atlas) red state pattern of undecideds breaking R would apply. It seems very hard for such a strongly Republican state to flip.

[Pericles]

Bob Hamilton's announcement video, for those interested. A Plumber, not a Politician. Could resonate well with KSGOP voters!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=50&v=AwQ_oclT610&feature=emb_logo

That guy has a lot of kids, wow.

[Pericles]

Marshall weighs in on the Harris pick:https://twitter.com/RogerMarshallMD/status/1293588053550718980?s=20

Bollier has not yet, but she did receive Harris' endorsement last week and responded to it:
https://twitter.com/BarbaraBollier/status/1291183961893478401?s=20

Bollier has a new ad on the airwaves featuring former GOP rep Tom Moxley endorsing her. Pretty effective in rural areas: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztv7ADlqROg

Freudian slip about Doug Jones by Harris .

4 States D's need.

She'd just say she's talking about getting to 51 seats, not 50. Even though if Democrats get 50 seats she's almost certainly become VP, most ordinary people won't presume that 50 seats is a Democratic majority.