Pericles
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« on: November 11, 2018, 02:25:52 AM » |
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The thing is usually in an FPP system is that the winning party is usually supposed to receive a greater percentage of seats to their percentage of the vote. In 2010 Republicans got 55.7% of House seats while getting 51.2% of the vote, in 2008 Democrats got 59.1% of the seats with 53.2% of the vote. The difference is even more acute with the Electoral College. So while it may be more democratic, it's a freaky accidental positive of gerrymandering rather than a sign gerrymandering is not a problem. What would be more indicative is to look at the tipping-point House district and see how far it is to the right of the district. So say if the tipping-point district was won by Democrats by 2%, while Democrats win the NPV by 7%, then the tipping-point district is 5 points to the right of the nation and Democrats would have needed a 5-point PV win to win the House. In 2016 I believe it was like 11 points to the right of the nation, fortunately the problem isn't that bad this year, but in a neutral environment I highly doubt Democrats would have won the House and may even have not come that close.
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