2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original  (Read 208472 times)
Pericles
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« on: January 20, 2018, 08:30:16 AM »

HUGE SURGE!
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Pericles
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2018, 11:52:27 AM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on January 21, 2018, 11:30:17 AM
Do we have any theories here? Is the shutdown repolarizing Republicans to their party? Or is there a tax cut bump for Republicans?

It's just Pelosi's tax reform bump fading(Dems surged due to tax reform despite idiotic takes that it helps the GOP).
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Pericles
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« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2018, 02:27:27 PM »
Pelosi got a YUGE bump out of tax reform, now it's taping off. Though it looks like she might get another YUGE bump, a SHUTDOWN BUMP(or SHUTDOWN SLUMP when talking about Trump & the GOP) so that could further inflate Democrat numbers.
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Pericles
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« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2018, 01:36:01 PM »
« Edited: January 31, 2018, 02:08:18 AM by Senator Pericles of Fremont »
Looks like likely voters are Democrats because of YUGE ENTHUSIASM AND ENERGY and Republicans EMBARASSED AND CHOKING.
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Pericles
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« Reply #4 on: January 31, 2018, 02:08:40 AM »
Quote from: Senator Pericles of Fremont on January 29, 2018, 01:36:01 PM
Looks like likely voters are Democrats because of YUGE ENTHUSIASM AND ENERGY and Republicans EMBARASSED AND CHOKING.

Fixed it.
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Pericles
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« Reply #5 on: February 13, 2018, 02:22:10 PM »
Dems will win the House, calling it. It's a wave and will only get bigger. LimoLiberal will be humiliated and make an 'apology'. Nail it down, bookmark it, carve it in, it will happen.
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Pericles
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« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2018, 01:37:47 PM »
The polls are underestimating Democrats. Called it.
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Pericles
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« Reply #7 on: March 06, 2018, 02:02:38 PM »
Sources have told me Dems have a 17 point lead in the Monomouth poll and Trump has a -32% approval rating.
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Pericles
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« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2018, 12:54:14 PM »
My sources say LimoLiberal is an idiot and a troll, and Democrats are up by double digits.
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Pericles
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« Reply #9 on: March 07, 2018, 01:09:57 PM »
I basically called it. +12, +9, hardly any difference, BLUE WAVE, Limo in tears.
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Pericles
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« Reply #10 on: March 25, 2018, 02:29:26 AM »
The model.
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Pericles
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« Reply #11 on: April 30, 2018, 11:11:34 PM »
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Pericles
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« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2018, 03:40:07 PM »
Given the track record of GOP internals, Eastman is probably in a close race with Bacon.
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Pericles
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« Reply #13 on: May 23, 2018, 11:18:43 PM »
Shady Shak sounds bad. Sure, Comstock may be nasty in doing this, but it's good to know. If I were a Republican I'd vote for Comstock, Shady Shak is a no go now that I know this info.
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Pericles
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« Reply #14 on: May 24, 2018, 08:42:53 PM »
Tbh Shak is a lot worse than just a jort wearer.
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Pericles
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« Reply #15 on: May 24, 2018, 10:39:41 PM »
And pretend to be repentant and changed.
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Pericles
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« Reply #16 on: May 26, 2018, 03:05:34 AM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on May 26, 2018, 12:02:11 AM
Kind of surprised by how low Bush's "very negative"s were back in late 2006.
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Pericles
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« Reply #17 on: June 01, 2018, 09:48:26 PM »
From special elections the swings seem to have been bigger in redder districts, which is both good for Dems-in that more seats than expected are competitive-and bad for them-smaller swings in the places where they actually need to win, and a 5-point R win instead of a 20-point R win is still a win(so there'd need to be the same kind of swing in a more competitive district). So there isn't a single Democratic path to a majority, but may be more picking off lots of different and contrasting seats to get 218+.
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