TX-SEN: True to Form (user search)
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  TX-SEN: True to Form (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX-SEN: True to Form  (Read 160027 times)
Pericles
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« on: September 15, 2018, 10:59:25 PM »
If Texas voted in the middle of October, it probably would have been pretty close to a Trump +4 sort of result, Clinton had a much bigger nationwide lead(she got up to a 7-point lead in mid-October) then than she had at the end and this was coming right off the Access Hollywood tape and generally what had been a disastrous few weeks for Trump. However, the national environment changed following the Comey letter, the shift of the news cycle and as the GOP base came home, RCP's final average actually had it Trump +11.7%(so almost a 3-point pro-Trump error).
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Pericles
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Posts: 17,171
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2018, 12:15:45 AM »
This probably means Cruz is actually up by around mid single digits, my personal range is Cruz +3-Cruz +7 or 8.
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