NV-SEN: Rosen in

[Devout Centrist]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

[Devout Centrist]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

Hmm...let's see here:

1. Democrats are uniting behind Rosen

2. If Heller votes for the hugely unpopular healthcare bill, he will get lambasted and tarred with it

3. If Heller votes against the bill, he will disappoint pro-Trump activists and risk backlash

4. REID MACHINE

5. Early polling favors Rosen

[Devout Centrist]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

Hmm...let's see here:

1. Democrats are uniting behind Rosen

2. If Heller votes for the hugely unpopular healthcare bill, he will get lambasted and tarred with it

3. If Heller votes against the bill, he will disappoint pro-Trump activists and risk backlash

4. REID MACHINE

5. Early polling favors Rosen

Let's see here troll:

1. probably true

2. I doubt he will, if he does you are probably right

3. better than option #2

4. Rory Reid

5. Early polls loved Hillary

Well, Hillary won Nevada and Masto captured a Senate seat too. In any case, perhaps "DOA" may be too presumptive, however I still believe it is a fair conclusion from the available data.

Reid's loss can be attributed to several factors:
1. 2010 was a wave year.
2. Titus lost to Gibbons in '06 by 4 points.
3. Rory Reid isn't terribly charismatic nor was he the incumbent, unlike his daddy.

Look, Heller is in a very tough spot and I think it's fair to say there is a very high probability he will lose.


Also, shoutout to IndyRep for deliberately lying about my thoughts concerning McCaskill.

[Devout Centrist]

Also, shoutout to IndyRep for deliberately lying about my thoughts concerning McCaskill.

Nah, pretty sure you said that Donnelly is the only really vulnerable Democratic Senator and that MO is Lean D.

Also, the "Reid machine" couldn't win it for Berkley in 2012 either. Doesn't mean Heller will win, but he's not DOA.

Lean means landslide? Lol.

Donnelly is the only Lean R Democratic seat right now.

[Devout Centrist]

Lean means landslide? Lol.

Donnelly is the only Lean R Democratic seat right now.

You were acting like the race is a done deal. In any case, you have this habit of making... well.. very confident predictions that turn out to be hilariously wrong in the end. It's pretty astounding that anyone would rate MO "Lean D" and NV "Safe D" (though the latter is probably more plausible than the former), honestly.

And here I am getting lectured by the guy who called New Hampshire Safe D and assumed that Van Ostern was a shoe in.

[Devout Centrist]

Lean means landslide? Lol.

Donnelly is the only Lean R Democratic seat right now.

You were acting like the race is a done deal. In any case, you have this habit of making... well.. very confident predictions that turn out to be hilariously wrong in the end. It's pretty astounding that anyone would rate MO "Lean D" and NV "Safe D" (though the latter is probably more plausible than the former), honestly.

And here I am getting lectured by the guy who called New Hampshire Safe D and assumed that Van Ostern was a shoe in.

Word to the wise: it's best not to debate the retardedness of NH being safe D or the difference between "leans" and "safe" because apparently that's a hard concept to grasp

Peak Atlas: arguing over the difference between "tilt" and "lean".

More to the point, I wouldn't take my predictions all that seriously. Obviously I'll defend them when attacked, but c'mon, this is inherently a site where people drop their hot takes all the time.