Monmouth Poll: Clinton +4 in Ohio (user search)
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  Monmouth Poll: Clinton +4 in Ohio (search mode)
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Author Topic: Monmouth Poll: Clinton +4 in Ohio  (Read 5413 times)
Devout Centrist
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Posts: 10,134
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Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

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« on: August 22, 2016, 05:50:10 PM »

It seems like there's some controversy over the methodology here.

Monmouth's unweighed poll - results being results, which red avatars preach on here....
33R/29D/36I. Trump with a 2-point lead.

After Monmouth's special sauce was added, it became
29R/33D/37I. Clinton leading by 4.

Monmouth claims that the poll was reweighed for region, sex, race, age and polling vote history/registration. Their critics claim otherwise.

I'll be honest, I don't see how you can get to an 8% shift in the electorate by adjusting for race an age.

You'd think polling vote history/registration would be baked into the LV screen to begin with and would not need adjustment.

I think race was off by a few points, age a few points as well.

Sex seems to be on par between the weighted and unweighted samples.

It's possible it's a regional thing, which isn't released in the results.
2004 was rigged!
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,134
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

P P
« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2016, 06:01:40 PM »

It's always hilarious when Atlas posters think they are experts at polling, when in fact most people here couldn't conduct a poll if their life depended on it.
Aw, I just started a poll with my shell company, "DC Polling." Here's a sample question:

"TN Volunteer hates women! Do you think he's good for the women of New Hampshire?"
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