In Massachusetts, GOP Sees Vulernable Kerry

[Kevin]

Go ahead, waste your money idiots.

Kerry is safe in the primary too. His approval rating among Democrats is 66%.

66% among Democrats in the most liberal state in the Union for an incumbent Democratic Senator is horrible. Also don't underestimate Kerrys opponets on the Repubican side of this, George Allens opponet was underestimated and look where he is now.   
 

[Kevin]

66% among Democrats in the most liberal state in the Union for an incumbent Democratic Senator is horrible. Also don't underestimate Kerrys opponets on the Repubican side of this, George Allens opponet was underestimated and look where he is now.   

A lot of that is probably residual anger for losing 2004, which I doubt will translate into a primary loss.

I know but still Kerry is vunerable and that can be exploted.

[Kevin]

66% among Democrats in the most liberal state in the Union for an incumbent Democratic Senator is horrible.

That's the primary electorate. 66% of the vote is sitting pretty good, even in a primary.

Also don't underestimate Kerrys opponets on the Repubican side of this, George Allens opponet was underestimated and look where he is now.

If Kerry's opponent decides to send a minority to track him and Kerry calls him an ethnic slur then we can use this analogy.

Kerry has already had several gaffe moments including the eltist " Study hard or you will end up in Iraq" moment. 

[Kevin]

66% among Democrats in the most liberal state in the Union for an incumbent Democratic Senator is horrible.

That's the primary electorate. 66% of the vote is sitting pretty good, even in a primary.

Also don't underestimate Kerrys opponets on the Repubican side of this, George Allens opponet was underestimated and look where he is now.

If Kerry's opponent decides to send a minority to track him and Kerry calls him an ethnic slur then we can use this analogy.

Kerry has already had several gaffe moments including the eltist " Study hard or you will end up in Iraq" moment. 

Accidentally saying a joke wrong is quite different from what Allen did. What Allen did wasn't really a gaffe, since he wasn't misunderstood and he didn't mispeak.

Aside from that, the two states are not comparable, the Democrats have a strong presence in Virginia, the MA GOP is virtually non-existent, even on a local level.

But again it could be argued that Kerry understood what he was saying and it was an eltist insult. Also if you think about it both comments could be easily mistaken for insults.

[Kevin]

Go ahead, waste your money idiots.

Kerry is safe in the primary too. His approval rating among Democrats is 66%.

66% among Democrats in the most liberal state in the Union for an incumbent Democratic Senator is horrible. Also don't underestimate Kerrys opponets on the Repubican side of this, George Allens opponet was underestimated and look where he is now.   
 

Read the below. Unlike Virginia for the Democrats, there is no credible Republican Party in all of Massachusetts.

The GOP is all but extinct in Massachusetts. It's not even like the South or Utah, where Democrats are few but at least represented. The Republicans hold a scant 19 of 160 seats in the Massachusetts House of Representatives and 5 of 40 in the Massachusetts Senate and are likely to lose more as incumbents retire. Republicans hold no House seats in Massachusetts, haven't held one since 1996, and contested only three of the ten seats in 2006, of which their best result was 29.4%. (Five Democrats ran unopposed, one against the Working Families Party and one against the Socialist Workers Party.) Having now lost the governorship, the Massachusetts Republican Party is completely and utterly dead.

Compare:

Virginia
US House Delegation
8 Republicans
3 Democrats

House of Delegates
57 Republicans
40 Democrats
3 Independents

Senate
23 Republicans
17 Democrats

Massachusetts
US House Delegation
10 Democrats

House of Representatives
141 Democrats
19 Republicans

Senate
35 Democrats
5 Republicans

This doesn't mean an upset can't happen.