What time will Virginia be called and for whom?

[Kevin]

I say at around 10:30 PM 52-44% for Romney.

The reasons I say this is that although the recession isn't as severe in much of the state(esp. NOVA). Along with the fact that Obama has a strong organization here in the state. The forumites saying that VA is going to go solidly for Obama etc. Aren't distinguishing where and for what these factors like government spending ect is coming from. And are conveniently forgetting the recent trends and election outcomes throughout Virginia since 2009.

In terms of NOVA and government spending. The reasons why Obama did so well here in 2008 were due to a mixture of events like Bush fatigue/the economic meltdown, an inept campaign by the GOP etc. Although, I do lament that changing demographics did contribute to Obama's win here. Another important aspect contributing to Obama's victory was the moderate Democrat/DLC types like Warner, and Kaine(who was still popular at the time) who helped built the Democratic network in VA.

However, since then it's been largely downhill for the Democrats since then. Bob McDonnell defeated Creigh Deeds(who had very heavy WH backing in 2009), the Dem's lost 3 House seats here in 2010 and almost lost a 4 in what should have been a safe D district given it's previous numbers. Also, the Democrats suffered a beating lost NOV in legislative and local elections throughout the state(incl. NOVA). Lastly many parts of the VA Democratic Party are going through a stage of infighting and scandals at the current time.

What's more since the Democrats on here are sooo certain that Obama will win due to the government workers they are failing to notice who and what part of the government these voters are working for. Most of them work for government departments & agencies like the DoD, CIA, NSA, the various Armed forces depts like the Army, Navy, etc if not active military themselves. NOVA has ton's of high-ranking military officers, NCO's, and retired military as well. The same goes for much of the rest of the state too. Now with the President and Congressional Democrats being highly supportive of defense cuts do you really think these type of people are going to support the president/party that wants to do away with the resources and jobs that they have?

This is what I stand by and I think Romney may very well(the same case in other states too)be under polling in VA at the present time and I can guarantee Obama's lead will be erased here sooner or later.

As a disclaimer to those who may respond harshly I live in NOVA and in a county that went to Obama 52-44% in 2008 and hasn't treated the Dem's on any level well since.