AZ-GOV 2022: Yee in

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Probably the best candidate the AZ GOP can put up statewide. Of course, that doesn't mean their voters will see it that way.


EDIT: Just watched her campaign video. Looks like shes just another MAGA nut on par with every other AZ Republican. This is the best the AZ GOP has to offer? Shes got the experience down, but her problem is the same as everyone elses. She can win the primary, but the GE might be another story (B I D E N M I D T E R M Notwithstanding).

Also, I thought Arizona would've learned from Nevada the perils of building entire campaigns around being anti-California. Not everyone who moves out of California is a Republican.

Tossup ---> Tossup

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Yee/Hobbs rankings in that OHPI poll


Registered voters, Democrats, Independents, Republicans

Power rankings
Hobbs   #1     #3   #1   #24
Yee       #3   #19   #5     #6


Name ID
Hobbs   83%   85%   78%   85%
Yee       73%   73%   70%   75%

Net favorability
Hobbs   21%   39%   19%    5%
Yee       15%   20%   11%  14%

Demographic/Experience score
Hobbs   6.8   9.2   5.8   5.6
Yee       6.9   5.9   5.8   8.7

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Endorsed. Probably the strongest Dem candidate, but I didn't think her announcement video was particularly good.

Serious question: Has a campaign announcement video ever positively helped anyone? As in help to gain momentum or boost support right out of the gate?

Between Yee going full MAGA and the tepidness of Hobbs' video, I'm not sure they do any more harm or good that a simple tweet could do.