Clemson Palmetto Poll-SC: Biden 35, Steyer 17, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 8, Warren 8 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 02:14:38 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Clemson Palmetto Poll-SC: Biden 35, Steyer 17, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 8, Warren 8 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Clemson Palmetto Poll-SC: Biden 35, Steyer 17, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 8, Warren 8  (Read 2704 times)
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« on: February 26, 2020, 02:12:49 PM »
« edited: February 26, 2020, 02:17:16 PM by Interlocutor »

I don't doubt this being the final margin or numbers, but it makes more sense to me when you swap Steyer & Sanders.

I'd consider it good for Sanders if he can stay viable. But this is pretty much the best-case scenario I was thinking of for Biden
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« Reply #1 on: February 26, 2020, 11:11:39 PM »
« Edited: February 26, 2020, 11:19:03 PM by Interlocutor »

My theory on what the Biden camp is thinking strategically for the rest of the month:
- Win South Carolina, hopefully big
- That provides a great couple day news cycle that his campaign is back on track and he's the main alternative to Sanders
- Wins Alabama (big), Arkansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.
- Improves enough in California to not get shut out of the delegates.
- Win Mississippi (big) and Missouri (maybe Michigan)
- Surpass Bloomberg in Florida, win Ohio (maybe Illinois)
- Win Georgia (big)

Disregarding margins, all those states seem favorable to Biden already. The vagueness lies in Texas, North Carolina and Virginia. And even if he doesn't win those three, I think his margins will be close enough that he won't lose out on many delegates.

My biggest worry, if I were Biden, would be to miss viability in California. That's the easiest way Sanders can turn this from a 3 month nailbiter to a cakewalk.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 13 queries.