SAFE R. Maybe Likely but if it’s likely then it’s closer to safe than lean. Drawing conclusions from NOVA or the Alabama Senate race where the republican was a literal pedophile is a flimsy argument. Dems will focus on Arizona, Nevada, and defense.
You forgot the presidential race, where Republicans underperformed badly in the suburbs as well. Cruz is hardly someone with a lot of crossover appeal, and I wouldn't be surprised if the DSCC has dirt on him.
Trump only won TX by 9 points, and Republicans jost lost a Senate race in a state he won by 28.
Which would imply the GOP establishment didn't have any oppo to drop on Cruz during the primary? Didn't you say before the GOP hasn't had an oppo research program since 2004? Do you stand by that?