Oregon Update:
Based upon the latest Oregon Secretary of State update, Oregon has a new record in total General Election Votes cast- 2,022,000 votes (The previous high was 1,845,251 in 2008) and an 11% increase over 2012 total turnout.
Although overall voter turnout percentages is lower than since any GE election since 1996, this is largely as a result of automatic DMV voter registration (With an opt out clause), so basically almost every Oregon adult US citizen that renews or requests a driver's license is automatically registered to vote....
Overall Voter registration surged from 2012 (2.2 Million) to almost (2.6 Million) as a direct result of the new law.
Turnout levels to date are at 78.9% of Registered Voters, which is a bit lower than I expected, but I had not adjusted for the impact of a ton of new registered voters on the overall voter turnout percentages, although it does certainly account for at least 50% of the historic vote increase.
Meanwhile Statewide: Turnout levels by Party affilitation---
Democrats (86.6% turnout)- Republicans (88.1% turnout)- Independents (59.3% turnout).
Total vote turnout by the three major party registrations as a percentage of the total vote of these three registered categories ( I have not been including minor parties in these stats):
Democrats (45.2%)- Republicans (33.4%)- Independents (21.4%).
I'll probably shift over to the 2016 GE Results Page to go into more specifics of Oregon related election results and data, now that the GE is over, but still seemed relevant to post turnout related items on this thread.
Haven't looked at California yet, but that could be an interesting study in EV and turnout levels as well....
You should. I enjoyed reading your posts and comparing your predictions. Seems Trump strongly exceeded expectations in the rural areas.
