IA-Selzer: Trump +7 (user search)
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  IA-Selzer: Trump +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Trump +7  (Read 37571 times)
Tartarus Sauce
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,362
United States


« on: October 31, 2020, 08:37:47 PM »

It's like Atlas has collectively forgotten how outlier polls work.
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Tartarus Sauce
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,362
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2020, 08:45:02 PM »

This is the best poll for Trump in months, and it’s an outlier with a bunch of undecideds in a small state Biden does not need to win.

Sad to see even some posters who I thought had level heads are losing their minds over this. Everything that’s ever been said about how this race is not at all like 2016 has not suddenly been erased because a single poll in a single state shows  a similar margin to 2016.

I mean, Biden was up 6 in NC with 52% earlier (did NOT happen in 2016), but you didn’t see Trumpers panic and doomers concede they were wrong and Biden’s gonna win.

An even better equivalent would be the +17 Biden Wisconsin poll from ABC/WaPo, another A+ polling firm. Many of the people losing their minds right now correctly understood that poll was an outlier, but seem to think that every data point leading up to now is rendered moot by a single Ann Selzer poll.
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