UK General Election 2017 - Predictions Thread

[kyc0705]

Prediction:
Tories - 385
Labour - 180
SNP - 50
DUP - 8
Lib Dems - 7
Greens - 2
Northern Ireland Seats - 18

The DUP should be in the 18 NI seat count.

[kyc0705]

I punched my "gut instinct" numbers into PrincipalFish, and here's what I got:

Conservative (42.1%): 333 seats
Labour (36.2%): 240 seats
Scottish Nat'l (3.8%): 46 seats
Liberal Democrats (8.3%): 7 seats
Plaid Cymru (0.7%): 4 seats
Green (1.9%): 1 seat
—
Northern Ireland: 18 seats
Speaker: 1 seat

Outcome: Conservative majority of 16

[kyc0705]

Final prediction (via PrincipalFish's calculator):

Conservative (43.2%): 347 seats
Labour (35.2%): 228 seats
Scottish Nat'l (3.7%): 44 seats
Liberal Democrats (8.2%): 7 seats
Plaid Cymru (0.7%): 4 seats
Green (2.0%): 1 seat
—
Northern Ireland: 18 seats
Speaker: 1 seat

Outcome: Conservative majority of 43

[kyc0705]

Thx.

Shouldn't the Speaker seat be blue as well ?

I think the speaker is supposed to be an independent (i.e. leave whatever party they were in beforehand.)