evergreenarbor
Jr. Member
Posts: 864
Political Matrix E: -6.77, S: -8.43
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« on: August 19, 2016, 08:06:41 PM » |
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Well, California was a lot less Democratic in the 1960s than it is now (California only voted for a Democratic presidential candidate once between 1952 and 1988, and that was LBJ).
To answer the question: As the race currently stands, I think Trump will get ~30% in CA and ~32% in NY. If the debates go poorly for him, he could fall under 30% in both states. It's hard for me to figure out how he gets above 40% in either.
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