Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Angrie]

If this seat is actually even competitive, then Democrats look poised to win control of the House and maybe even (somehow, despite the map) the Senate in the 2018 midterms.

[Angrie]

It looks like Thompson is going to lose this one.

Sadly, looks like probably so to me.

An interesting aspect of this is that it does seem pretty clear that Republicans seem to have held up much better in rural areas than in the Witchita suburbs. That supports the suburbs-anti-trump-revolt idea that is floating around. If Democrats can make gains capitalizing on an anti-trump backlash, it will be in districts like GA-06.

[Angrie]

Thompson still has a substantial lead in Sedgwick. It's only over if that county narrows substantially.

But the election day vote from Sedgwick that is in so far is a totally different story than the early vote.

[Angrie]

The fact that it came so close shows that a bigger push (and more money, especially) could've made the difference. That's the lesson to take from this, and if the DCCC comes back tomorrow and says "well, the populist message failed here, let's keep focusing on suburban districts" then they'll continue to lose golden opportunities like this one.

Except the parts of the district where Thompson seems to have done relatively well in are precisely the urban/suburban parts of the district, not the rural parts.

Rural = ultra-safe Trump/GOP territory.

[Angrie]

Except the parts of the district where Thompson seems to have done relatively well in are precisely the urban/suburban parts of the district, not the rural parts.

Rural = ultra-safe Trump/GOP territory.

In plenty of other rural counties outside of Sedgwick, Thompson did better than Hillary in 2016.

Yeah, but not by much as compared to the (apparent, since the vote is not all in yet) swings in Sedgwick.