MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Angrie]

have we actually counted any election day vote though?

Some people say that it is all early vote. No idea how they know that though, it is not clear like in most other states.

[Angrie]

Wibaux county is 100% in. Gianforte is at 79% there, was 70% for him in 2016. It is a very small 1 precinct rural county.

[Angrie]

Quist won election day vote in yellowstone by 7%

Isn't that like 27 points better than the early vote was?

[Angrie]

Quist won election day vote in yellowstone by 7%

Source?

some unverified twitter account named sammy snickers.

Prob baloney

I guess unsubstantiated twitter rumors are Quist's only real hope at this point.

[Angrie]

A reminder that the DCCC spent a tenth on this race what they've spent in GA-6 so far.

Maybe cause they knew it really wasn't winnable?

Bullock won the state against Gianforte as Clinton lost by 20 points. Jon Tester got elected twice here.

1) Those two are more moderate than Quist

2) The media markets aren't even comparable

3) Hillary did better in GA-6 than MT-AL by about eighty miles.

Not every seat deserves equal funding. Sorry. Georgia-6 was always, always more winnable than MT-AL.

Why do Democrats keep saying this about seats they lose by a whisker (MT, KS-4)?

Because Democrats really really like to get their hopes up and then get them quashed. It happens with basically every single election.

[Angrie]

Remember, Bullock was an incumbent who had 60+ approval ratings barely coasted by-- only won by 4 points. Otherwise he would have been toast.

So you are saying this is a pretty good performance, and the Democrats ought to nominate Berniecrats for everything. Message received!