What are Hogan's chances to be re-elected?

[Lothal1]

Hogan vs Brown 2014. Look at the margins in Rural MD.

[Lothal1]

Some Russian guy arguing with various people about Maryland politics.

Honestly, Larry Hogan would probably need Mississippi style racial polarization to pull of a solid victory, and I just don't see that happening with Trump as president. His best scenario is to pull off a slim victory like in 2014.

If a Black vs white primary happens (2006 Senate) for the Democratic nomination, Larry Hogan 98% will win.

[Lothal1]

Hogan came out today in FAVOR of the Democrats fracking ban legislation.

He must think he's in trouble if he's running to the left on the environment.

There are a lot of annoying environmental voters in MD. Appeasing MoCo and HoCo will assure victory.

[Lothal1]

Why is Hogan so popular, is it because the cancer? Because, he seems like a pretty meh Governor to me its not like MD is booming and his accomplishments seem pretty small. Same thing with Baker, to accomplish so little and be so popular...

(Sorry for double post) 1. Cancer is a part. 2. His rule is as a reaction of Martin O'Malley's failures. He has reversed most of the things Martin did so wrong. 3. Transportation policy 4. beloved in Rural MD for obvious reasons. 5. person popularity.