I'm not sure if I've asked this before, but why is Washington's state legislature so close when overall the state is pretty heavily Democratic in other races, particularly statewide? Democrats have lost seats in the State House in every election since 2008, which is just something I find a bit odd given how Democratic the state is overall and their relatively large turnout elections. Democrats only have a 1-seat majority now and if they don't buck the current 8-year trend, they'll effectively lose control of the State House and thus the entire legislature.
I know little about WA politics, but my guess would be it's in a similar situation to that of the New York Senate: conservative rural areas are overrepresented in the legislature and urban areas are underrepresented. Maybe one of our WA posters can enlighten us.
Toss-up - Connecticut Senate
I don't think so, Tim.
Yeah, and CT House as only Lean D? Democrats will likely pick up seats in both in a Presidential year.
They're probably banking on Malloy's ridiculously low approval numbers. But even then, the popularity of a sitting governor has minimal impact on legislative seats.