Flo's and ElectionGuy's Maps

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Move over, ladies.



Ten Obama districts in North Carolina.

NC-1 (Blue)
52.6% Obama
48.8% McCain

NC-2 (Green)
52% Obama
47.2% McCain

NC-3 (Purple)
54.5% Obama
44.8% McCain

NC-4 (Red)
56% Obama
42.9% McCain

NC-5 (Yellow)
53.2% Obama
45.9% McCain

NC-6 (Forest Green)
54.5% Obama
44.8% McCain

NC-7 (Grey)
53.3% Obama
45.9% McCain

NC-8 (Indigo)
51.7% Obama
47.3% McCain

NC-9 (Turquoise)
50.1% Obama
49% McCain

NC-10 (Pink)
52% Obama
47.1% McCain

NC-11 (Lime Green)
52.6% McCain
46.3% Obama

NC-12 (Cornflower Blue)
62.6% McCain
36.2% Obama

NC-13 (Salmon)
63.3% McCain
35.4% Obama

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

12/12 solid Obama districts in New Jersey




NJ-1 (Blue)
56% Obama
44% McCain

NJ-2 (Green)
Obama 56.4%
McCain 43.6%

NJ-3 (Purple)
61.2% Obama
38.8% McCain

NJ-4 (Red)
54% Obama
46% McCain

NJ-5 (Yellow)
53.1% Obama
46.9% McCain

NJ-6 (Teal)
53.6% Obama
46.4% McCain

NJ-7 (Grey)
54.3% Obama
45.7% McCain

NJ-8 (Slate Blue)
56.8% Obama
43.2% McCain

NJ-9 (Cyan)
56.3% Obama
43.7% McCain

NJ-10 (Pink)
55% Obama
45% McCain

NJ-11 (Chartreuse)
56.2% Obama
43.8% McCain

NJ-12 (Cornflower Blue)
79.7% Obama
20.3% McCain

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Colorado - Obama wins 7/7 districts




CO-1 (Blue)
54.4% Obama
43.8% McCain

CO-2 (Green)
57% Obama
41.3% McCain

CO-3 (Purple)
56.6% Obama
41.8% McCain

CO-4 (Red)
55% Obama
43.5% McCain

CO-5 (Yellow)
51.6% Obama
46.6% McCain

CO-6 (Teal)
50.6% Obama
47.8% McCain

CO-7 (Grey)
51.4% Obama
47.1% McCain

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

You can add this to your map if you'd like, Flo.



AR-1 (Blue) = Lean/Likely D
51.8% Obama
46.3% McCain

AR-2 (Green) = Safe R
34% Obama
63.6% McCain

AR-3 (Purple) = Safe R
35.1% Obama
62% McCain

AR-4 (Red) = Safe R
34.3% Obama
62.4% McCain

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Hmm... this will be a fun race to see whose side can gerrymander themselves to the majority.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

I took no prisoners.



LA-1 (Blue) = Lean D
52.4% Obama
46.6% McCain

LA-2 (Green) = Safe R
74.6% McCain
23.9% Obama

LA-3 (Purple) = Safe R
69.4% McCain
28.8% Obama

LA-4 (Red) = Lean D
52.1% Obama
46.7% McCain

LA-5 (Yellow) = Safe R
72.2% McCain
26.1% Obama

LA-6 (Teal) = Safe D
60.1% Obama
38.2% McCain

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

VA-1 (Blue) = Likely D
55.3% Obama
43.9% McCain

VA-2 (Green) = Safe D
56.7% Obama
42.5% McCain

VA-3 (Purple) = Safe D
58.7% Obama
40.5% McCain

VA-4 (Red) = Safe D
66.2% Obama
33.1% McCain

VA-5 (Yellow) = Lean D
52.5% Obama
46.6% McCain

VA-6 (Teal) = Safe D
55% Obama
44.3% McCain

VA-7 (Grey) = Likely D
53.2% Obama
46.1% McCain

VA-8 (Slate Blue) = Safe D
59.6% Obama
39.7% McCain

VA-9 (Cyan) = Safe D
56.2% Obama
43% McCain

VA-10 (Pink) = Toss-Up/Tilt R
51.2% McCain
48% Obama

VA-11 (Chartreuse) = Safe R
58.3% McCain
40.6% Obama

VA-12 (Cornflower Blue) = Safe R
56.9% McCain
41.8% Obama

VA-13 (Salmon) = Safe R
60.3% McCain
38.5% Obama

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Last one for the night.




GA-1 (Blue) = Lean D
53.6% Obama
45.7% McCain

GA-2 (Green) = Lean D
52.1% Obama
47.4% McCain

GA-3 (Purple) = Lean D
52.4 Obama
47.1% McCain

GA-4 (Red) = Safe R
67.5% McCain
31.9% Obama

GA-5 (Yellow) = Toss-Up/Tilt D
51.3% Obama
48.1% McCain

GA-6 (Teal) = Likely D
54% Obama
45.4% McCain

GA-7 (Grey) = Toss-Up/Tilt D
51.3% Obama
48.1% McCain

GA-8 (Slate Blue) = Safe D
56.9% Obama
42.3% McCain

GA-9 (Cyan) = Toss-Up/Tilt D
51.6% Obama
47.5% McCain

GA-10 (Pink) = Safe D
64% Obama
35.4% McCain

GA-11 (Chartreuse) = Lean D
53.6% Obama
45.7% McCain

GA-12 (Cornflower Blue) = Toss-Up/Tilt R
50.1% McCain
49.1% Obama

GA-13 (Salmon) = Safe R
71.3% McCain
27.8% Obama

GA-14 (Olive) = Safe R
67.9% McCain
31.2% Obama

GA-15 (Dark Orange) = Safe R
75.1% McCain
23.8% Obama

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

Another night without sleep = more maps from me.

(Don't worry, I'm not trying to draw the whole map or anything. )



NM-1 (Blue) = Likely D
53.4% Obama
45.2% McCain

NM-2 (Green) = Safe D
54.2% Obama
44.4% McCain

NM-3 (Purple) = Safe D
62.7% Obama
36.1% McCain




CO-1 (Blue) = Safe D
54.1% Obama
44.2% McCain

CO-2 (Green) = Safe D
56.3% Obama
42.1% McCain

CO-3 (Purple) = Likely D
53% Obama
45.2% McCain

CO-4 (Red) = Likely D
53% Obama
45.1% McCain

CO-5 (Yellow) = Safe D
59.5% Obama
38.8% McCain

CO-6 (Teal) = Safe D
54.9% Obama
43.4% McCain

CO-7 (Grey) = Safe D
54.1% Obama
44.4% McCain

CO-8 (Slate Blue) = Safe D
59.2% Obama
39.4% McCain

CO-9 (Cyan) = Lean D
51.9% Obama
46.7% McCain

CO-10 (Pink) = Safe R
61.4% McCain
37.1% Obama

Also, you might want to color DC red.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

MO-1 (Blue) = Toss-Up/Tilt D
51.1% Obama
47.4% McCain

MO-2 (Green) = Toss-Up/Tilt D
51.9% Obama
46.8% McCain

MO-3 (Purple) = Safe D
55.3% Obama
43.6% McCain

MO-4 (Red) = Safe D
63.6% Obama
35.4% McCain

MO-5 (Yellow) = Safe R
64.2% McCain
34.2% Obama

MO-6 (Teal) = Safe R
61.9% McCain
36.9% Obama

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

New York.  This slowed my computer down so badly (I had to close the program down!) that I'm not even going to try getting the numbers, but Obama carried every district.  The last three or four were close.




Take that, Peter King!

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

NJ-1 (Blue) = Safe D
56.2% Obama
43.8% McCain

NJ-2 (Green) = Safe D
54.4% Obama
45.6% McCain

NJ-3 (Purple) = Likely D
53.7% Obama
46.3% McCain

NJ-4 (Red) = Safe D
56.8% Obama
43.2% McCain

NJ-5 (Yellow) = Safe D
55.2 Obama
44.8% McCain

NJ-6 (Teal) = Safe D
55.6% Obama
44.4% McCain

NJ-7 (Grey) = Safe D
65% Obama
35% McCain

NJ-8 (Slate Blue) = Safe D
57.4% Obama
42.6% McCain

NJ-9 (Cyan) = Safe D
56.3% Obama
43.7% McCain

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

NJ-1 (Blue) = Safe D
56.2% Obama
43.8% McCain

NJ-2 (Green) = Safe D
54.4% Obama
45.6% McCain

NJ-3 (Purple) = Likely D
53.7% Obama
46.3% McCain

NJ-4 (Red) = Safe D
56.8% Obama
43.2% McCain

NJ-5 (Yellow) = Safe D
55.2 Obama
44.8% McCain

NJ-6 (Teal) = Safe D
55.6% Obama
44.4% McCain

NJ-7 (Grey) = Safe D
65% Obama
35% McCain

NJ-8 (Slate Blue) = Safe D
57.4% Obama
42.6% McCain

NJ-9 (Cyan) = Safe D
56.3% Obama
43.7% McCain

That's actually a map with a number of competitive districts. Christie probably won from 4 to 6 of those 9 in 2009 and 8 of 9 in 2013. They certainly aren't safe D, mostly lean to likely D.

I wasn't really taking state races into account when I made any of these maps.  My rule of thumb for this was that if Obama wins by ten points or more, it probably wasn't a huge swing from 2004, and so a Democrat would have likely either kept the district or knocked out a Republican incumbent.  I know that probably wasn't true for every race, though.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

I wasn't really taking state races into account when I made any of these maps.  My rule of thumb for this was that if Obama wins by ten points or more, it probably wasn't a huge swing from 2004, and so a Democrat would have likely either kept the district or knocked out a Republican incumbent.  I know that probably wasn't true for every race, though.

Particularly in south Jersey. The blue district would be Tossup best for Democrats against LoBiondo.

A D+1 district where Obama won by eight points in 2008?  Yeah, realistically that'd be Likely R in a non-wave year.  (If LoBiondo is running, of course.)