Is there any way Democrats could avoid a net loss of senate seats in 2024? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 12:20:51 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Is there any way Democrats could avoid a net loss of senate seats in 2024? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Is there any way Democrats could avoid a net loss of senate seats in 2024?  (Read 845 times)
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« on: November 18, 2020, 11:40:15 AM »

With Harris as the nominee? Of course not!
Even in a narrow Harris win, I think GOP wins MI, WI, OH, MT, WV
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2020, 11:43:56 AM »

Dems are not losing more than OH, WV, and MT unless they are also losing the Presidential race.

Disagree here. PA, MI, and especially WI are likely flipping if the GOP carries the respective states in the election.

If Dems lose those states in the Presidential race they are probably losing the White House.
If they lose all three yes, but I could see Harris winning with Biden - 2 of PA, MI, WI if she holds AZ and GA
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2020, 12:29:49 PM »

It’s going to be really tough for them to hold WV/OH and flip both of TX/FL. The rest should be very doable in a great environment for Democrats.

My best guess is -WV, -OH, +TX, so R+1 for their realistic best-case scenario.
This but add MT to the losses.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 11 queries.