2022 Gubernatorial matchups and ratings

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

No Tossups
Likely R
IA
TX
VT- Lean D if Scott runs for Senate
Lean R
AK
FL
NH(Tilt R with Ayotte, Safe R with Sununu, tilt D w/o ayotte)
Tilt R
PA
RI(flip)- Trending R, Raimondo is unpopular
WI(flip)- Rojo the clown woos the wcw by ranting about Kenosha riots
Tossup Tilt D
AZ(flip)- I know McSally is a bad candidate, but it appears AZ is going to be harder to win then we thought. If C0vid is still a thing, turnout will likely be higher and that hurts GOP
GA(flip)- I think Georgia's trens will be too much for Kemp. Hes not doomed per say but if I had to pick a winner it would be the democrat.
MI- Whitmer isn't out of the clear but her approvals are decent now so even when they undoubtedly decline I think she still isn't doomed. But Candice Miller would be tough to beat.
OR- I suspect there will be a backlash to the rioting. But with the polarized climate, it's going to be hard for republicans to win a blue state they couldn't even win in 2010/2014.
Lean D
CT
KS- Kelly will be fine as long as her approvals are good. Kansas is no longer republican enough to throw out a dem gov just for being a democrat.
ME
MN
Likely D
NV
NM
Safe D
CO
IL
NY
MD(flip)

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

High Turnout
D- +AZ, GA, MD
R- +WI, MI, PA, RI, OR
Low turnout
D- GA, MD
R- PA, WI, RI, OR