2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1057229426277146624

https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1057229892427964416?s=19

Looks like we’ll get Rep. Delgado.

But josh kraushaar told me republicans were ahead in NY-19!

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

If Jess King wins that would be the icing on the cake! Unlikely, but still hoping!

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

LOL chill out! R's are screwed. Enough with the dems in disarray narrative.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Peters is not comparable to Bill Nelson. He's managed to raise almost $2M in the first quarter - that indicates that he's taking this race seriously. Nelson slept until August/September 2018 because he thought Scott would be weak like Harris or Mack IV. Peters may be boring/anonymous, but you don't become the only Democrat in an twelve-person freshman Senate class without real political skills.

Michigan is also a lot kinder to Democrats than Florida, considering that there are NO statewide elected Republicans there (out of five positions), in comparison to Florida, where there is only one statewide Democrat (out of six). Agree that he's probably the second-most vulnerable Senate Democrat after Jones, but there is a HUGE gap between the two. Bear in mind that Republicans haven't won a Senate race in Michigan since the 1994 R wave, and that the Senator who won that year lost to Stabenow in 2000.

Bill Nelson also raised 2 Million in Q1, and continued raising massive amounts (in addition to outside PACS). He had over 3.6 million on hand after Q1. Just saying, don't undervalue John James.

James is a B-lister and Peters [unlike Stabenow] isn’t asleep at the wheel; this race is is Likely D at worst.

Sorry but no. We don't know what kind of a year 2020 will be. Michigan is clearly swinging away from us and assuming a close election, this could be quite competitive

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Peters is not comparable to Bill Nelson. He's managed to raise almost $2M in the first quarter - that indicates that he's taking this race seriously. Nelson slept until August/September 2018 because he thought Scott would be weak like Harris or Mack IV. Peters may be boring/anonymous, but you don't become the only Democrat in an twelve-person freshman Senate class without real political skills.

Michigan is also a lot kinder to Democrats than Florida, considering that there are NO statewide elected Republicans there (out of five positions), in comparison to Florida, where there is only one statewide Democrat (out of six). Agree that he's probably the second-most vulnerable Senate Democrat after Jones, but there is a HUGE gap between the two. Bear in mind that Republicans haven't won a Senate race in Michigan since the 1994 R wave, and that the Senator who won that year lost to Stabenow in 2000.

Bill Nelson also raised 2 Million in Q1, and continued raising massive amounts (in addition to outside PACS). He had over 3.6 million on hand after Q1. Just saying, don't undervalue John James.

James is a B-lister and Peters [unlike Stabenow] isn’t asleep at the wheel; this race is is Likely D at worst.

Sorry but no. We don't know what kind of a year 2020 will be. Michigan is clearly swinging away from us and assuming a close election, this could be quite competitive

I think Lean D is fair until we see how the race unfolds further (polling, who announces, national environment, etc.). There bizarrely seems to be two camps on Atlas regarding MI-Sen: one that thinks Peters is safe and one that thinks he's the next Bill Nelson/incredibly weak incumbent who is destined to lose

I mean, Lean D makes sense if you think Trump will lose(which is a big possibility) but I just can't see Peters winning and Trump Winning MI at the same time.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Why are they wasting money on Herrera? This is bordering on Safe R, many of the counties in this district that Cantwell won in 2012(she won by a similar margin in 2018) voted for Hutchinson in a D+9 year despite dems tirelessly contesting it. It's GONE

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Golden running for reelection rather than Senate is definitely good news for Democrats. I doubt he would have been the ideal Democrat to run against Collins, and he won’t be as easy to beat in ME-02 as many people are making it out to be.

Are you joking? So he can run in  a seat that voted for Trump by 10 points and voted for Shawn Moody? He's may as well start writing his concession speech. He would have  been able to prevent bleeding in rural areas that we need to win statewide. A normal "resistance" democrat will get walloped in rural areas.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1146455000115240960

Pathetic. Emily's list is for women... except if they are progressive justice dems who don't bow down to corporatists. Screw them

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

LMAO this is how you blow a winnable race https://www.sunjournal.com/2019/07/03/maines-2nd-district-gops-eric-brakey-eyes-challenge-to-jared-golden/

They'll still win. Shawn Moody won this district man. Golden is making a huge mistake by running for re-election I'm telling you. I mean if there's a big dem wave I could see him squeaking by(maybe winning via RCV again) but even then it's going to be hard. He could certainly outrun the Presidential nominee but only by so much.