NC-Suffolk: Trump +3 (user search)
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  NC-Suffolk: Trump +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC-Suffolk: Trump +3  (Read 1721 times)
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

« on: September 08, 2016, 12:06:26 PM »

But clearly SC is a Tossup, amirite guys?

SC was understandably close when Clinton had a larger national lead. It makes sense that as her national polling lead narrows, some states grow further away.

It's really not that hard a concept, but it seems some people have trouble with it. 

I still think that Trump has an NC problem in a close race, even though this poll suggests some educated whites have come home for Trump in NC.  This is a small sample size; I'd like to see more polling from NC.
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: September 08, 2016, 04:45:57 PM »

It's really not that hard a concept, but it seems some people have trouble with it. 

I DO understand the concept, which is the reason why SC can't be a Tossup when NC is Trump +3.

Right, but the people who thought SC was a tossup (or tilt R) were thinking that when the national race was Clinton +7 as opposed to its current state.  I mean anyone who thinks SC is a tossup right now is being pretty silly.
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