I have a question.
Why was there a CDP -> Kibo defection?
None of the blocs of seats I looked at has CDP PR ->HP cross voting at an aggregate level. There are cases where that took place in individual seats and usually it involves a very weak CDP candidate whch leads to some tactical voting by CDP PR votes for HP which on average are fairly weak as well in seats where HP has to face CDP. This is the case because the "quality" ex-DP candidate in a HP vs CDP seat usually went with CDP and not HP. Where a quality ex-DP candidate went with HP, CDP would not bother with running a candidate. CDP was formed to support ex-DP candidates that HP refused to pick up.
No, not pre election, there has been a post election defection from the CDP to Kibo.
