Japan Oct 22 2017 (user search)
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  Japan Oct 22 2017 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Japan Oct 22 2017  (Read 43140 times)
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #25 on: October 21, 2017, 08:38:30 AM »
What if, say, the CDP got a seat total out of the 11 PR blocks that was higher then the amount of candidates they actually put up for election? Let's say they got 80 seats in total. Would the 2 seats that they don't have candidates for just not be filled, or would another party win them?
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #26 on: October 22, 2017, 05:32:43 AM »
almost certainly yes.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #27 on: October 22, 2017, 05:50:59 AM »
« Edited: October 22, 2017, 05:52:32 AM by PM Ardern »
Just asking, has the stream started yet?
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #28 on: October 22, 2017, 05:59:47 AM »
That's... rather low for in day voting, 29.99
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #29 on: October 22, 2017, 06:01:54 AM »
Wow, they can fill in seats extremely quickly, already down to 174 remaining.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #30 on: October 22, 2017, 06:02:27 AM »
Wow, JCP got screwed.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #31 on: October 22, 2017, 06:03:10 AM »
Revisionist have a 2/3 majority accoring to the exit poll.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #32 on: October 22, 2017, 06:10:53 AM »
HP can get screwed, vote splitting bastards.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #33 on: October 22, 2017, 06:15:36 AM »
« Edited: October 22, 2017, 06:18:31 AM by PM Ardern »
Quote from: jaichind on October 22, 2017, 06:14:13 AM
Quote from: PM Ardern on October 22, 2017, 06:10:53 AM
HP can get screwed, vote splitting bastards.

It seems so.  But looking at the early calls my guess is that unless LDP-KP over-performs on the PR section it is unlikely LDP-KP gets to 310 for 2/3 majority
Isshin might get them over it, meaning they could revise the constitution...
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #34 on: October 22, 2017, 06:23:14 AM »
Maehara holds his seat
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #35 on: October 22, 2017, 06:26:26 AM »
CDP will probably end up with 90-100 by next week.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #36 on: October 22, 2017, 06:28:16 AM »
Was 東京10区 expected to be close?
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #37 on: October 22, 2017, 06:32:22 AM »
Quote from: Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan on October 22, 2017, 06:31:41 AM
That maybe will be stupid question but what were the main issues during the campaign? Is Article 9 revision still important in public debate?
It was one of, if not THE most important issue in the campaign.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #38 on: October 22, 2017, 06:39:34 AM »
So that means that, theoretically, the exit polls could sill be wrong and that LDP-KP could be underperforming at an even worse level?
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #39 on: October 22, 2017, 06:43:40 AM »
What do you think the results could have been had there not been a Typhoon about to hit, or it was well off the Japan coast?
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #40 on: October 22, 2017, 06:48:33 AM »
Quote from: jaichind on October 22, 2017, 06:46:46 AM
Updated turnout chart

           2017    2014      2012
11:00  12.24     11.08　14.03
14:00  21.83     22.66　27.40
16:00  26.31     29.11　34.87
18:00  29.99     34.98　41.77
19:30  31.82     37.72　45.42
20:00               40.01   47.82
Early   20.01     12.65   11.50
Final  　            52.66　59.32

So final turnout should be around 53.5%
The results don't feel that way though... It's all so strange...
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #41 on: October 22, 2017, 07:08:40 AM »
Quote from: jaichind on October 22, 2017, 07:07:30 AM
Koike indicates that exit poll results are disappointing and that she will take responsibility for the results. 
A.K.A she'll probably resign.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #42 on: October 22, 2017, 07:35:18 AM »
Are results normally this slow to come in?
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #43 on: October 22, 2017, 07:44:28 AM »
CDP had a call retracted.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #44 on: October 22, 2017, 04:10:18 PM »
HP should take the blame for this fiasco, as they were the group who split the DP up.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #45 on: October 22, 2017, 04:29:35 PM »
LDP lost the battleground of Aichi 7 to the ex-DP Independent incumbent by 0.4%
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #46 on: October 22, 2017, 04:51:09 PM »
Quote from: Vega on October 22, 2017, 04:44:42 PM
Quote from: PM Ardern on October 22, 2017, 04:29:35 PM
LDP lost the battleground of Aichi 7 to the ex-DP Independent incumbent by 0.4%

Speaking of Aichi, what was going on in Aichi 12? Kazuhiko Shigetoku was an ex-JRP member, if I recall correctly.  
Kazuhiko won easily.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #47 on: October 23, 2017, 01:07:19 AM »
LDP win another seat.
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #48 on: October 23, 2017, 04:04:58 PM »
Have we seen any defections yet?
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Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,357
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02
« Reply #49 on: October 24, 2017, 07:52:23 PM »
How does KP always have such a high hit rate, regardless of hat type of election it is?

Also, what group would have Aichi 7's independent fit in?
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