Tokyo prefectural election, July 2 2017 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 29, 2024, 03:11:36 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  Tokyo prefectural election, July 2 2017 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Tokyo prefectural election, July 2 2017  (Read 18187 times)
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« on: June 14, 2017, 07:32:14 AM »
Wow, the Democrat's support basically doubles when Koike's team is removed, and that says something.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2017, 06:29:35 AM »
Quote from: jaichind on June 18, 2017, 07:38:25 PM
The most recent free-fall of Abe cabinet approval due to the anti-conspiracy bill and yet another school scandal can only be bad news for LDP in Tokyo a couple of weeks before the election. 



The LDP strategy so far has been to nationalize the Tokyo race to try to counter Koike's local appeal by Abe's high popularity.  Now that popularity is, for now, gone into reverse the LDP might have to go back to a grassroots localized race strategy to try to save some seats.   
Holy sh**t... What sort of effect do you think we should see in the polls? Maybe a spike in No Party?
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2017, 05:24:47 AM »
Isn't the DP surging in the closing week the norm though?
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #3 on: July 02, 2017, 07:19:11 AM »
Koike is 54 points above in the approval ratings, comparing to -13 for Abe in Tokyo?!

There is no way Koike will win in anything other than at least a substantial victory.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #4 on: July 02, 2017, 07:26:19 AM »


LDP to have their worst result in history, and could fall as low as 13 seats.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #5 on: July 02, 2017, 07:52:09 AM »
Japan's elections make Australia's seem like Usain Bolt when he runs the 100 meters...
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #6 on: July 02, 2017, 07:54:01 AM »
LDP have won their first seat of the night.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #7 on: July 02, 2017, 07:59:06 AM »
« Edited: July 02, 2017, 08:02:59 AM by Lok1999 »
Quote from: jaichind on July 02, 2017, 07:57:35 AM
Quote from: Lok1999 on July 02, 2017, 07:52:09 AM
Japan's elections make Australia's seem like Usain Bolt when he runs the 100 meters...

Part of it is because what is on NHK are fairly late compared to the data at the local count centers.  This is why a lot of times the media calls the race for one candidate when the other candidate is ahead on the NHK count.  
Makes sense.

Also, are NHK rounding up the individual candidates vote totals to the nearest 500 or something?
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #8 on: July 02, 2017, 08:32:12 AM »
What is happening with the democrats?
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #9 on: July 02, 2017, 08:45:30 AM »
WOO! Dems win their first seat!
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #10 on: July 02, 2017, 08:45:55 AM »
KOIKE NOW HAS A MAJORITY
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #11 on: July 02, 2017, 06:30:04 PM »
Looks like Murata isn't the only leader now on life support...
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #12 on: July 02, 2017, 07:39:07 PM »
So the center-left could have done a little bit better if the nominations went their way?
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #13 on: July 05, 2017, 04:58:08 AM »
How did Komeito manage to win every seat they ran for?
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #14 on: July 09, 2017, 07:01:10 AM »
Quote from: jaichind on July 09, 2017, 06:47:42 AM
NNN poll has Abe cabinet approval approval/disapproval down to 31.9%(-7.9%)/49.2%(+7.4%).  A record low



If this continues, he'll probably be gone by year's end.
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #15 on: July 09, 2017, 08:16:32 PM »
What are the full results for the Naha election?
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #16 on: July 23, 2017, 06:11:22 AM »
Who is in opposition? the DP-SDP-JCP?
Logged
Lachi
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,358
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.47
« Reply #17 on: July 23, 2017, 08:19:55 AM »
Are these results going to make a difference in the national scope though?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 9 queries.