more likely to flip than nh (imo)
I could see NH flipping before KY but only if (a) Sununu runs, (b) Sununu's approval rating is at least 70% on election day (he’ll need that to make the case for voting out a strong/popular incumbent + it’s a federal race), (c) he distances himself from Trump and Kim/MTG, and (d) he scores at least 18/20 on my candidate quality evaluation sheet in October 2022.
It’s definitely more likely to flip than AZ and NV, though... I mean, Andy Biggs? The AZ(Q)OP? These guys wouldn’t be able to hold a candle to ALG, Andy Beshear, and the KY Dems if their life depended on it. CCM? Sandoval is the only one who might make it competitive against her, and even he would probably lose 50.06%-47.67%.
Sununu is gonna have answer why did he veto the minimum wage against Hassan and he is vulnerable on that. He has yet to be scrutined by the press, natl press is different than local press
Not so much. Hassan has also recently announced on February 3 that she opposed raising the federal minimum wage to $15/hour. So attacking Sununu on that issue would make her look like a hypocrite.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maggie_Hassan#Federal_Minimum_Wage